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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
50¢
50% implied
NO Price
50¢
50% implied
Volume
$196
4,533 trades
Smart Whales
135
of 1,000 traders · 28 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

52 YESvs111 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 16% YES by dollars · 24 YES vs 99 NO taking a side · 2 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 87%· net of hedges
+539 new YES$12.7K+685 new NO$46.7K
$13.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 259 buyers — left out of momentum
48 smart whales106 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 41% of the money is not a bet
$37 of $6.3K is held equally on both sides by 1 wallet — not a bet on the outcome. $2.5K is hedged across different prices by 27 wallets. True directional: YES $605·NO $3.1K
YES Team
Total Invested
$2.0K
Avg Win Rate
58.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.9K(-94.0%)
Whales
52
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·924.7 shares·also $665 on NO
$-458INV $462 · WR 58.5%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·725 shares·also $368 on NO
$-359INV $363 · WR 56.4%
1
13897651🥉hedged
Entry 66¢·270.8 shares·also $16 on NO
$-177INV $178 · WR 56.6%
S
Stimulating-Power
Entry 50¢·214.7 shares
$-106INV $107 · WR 62.1%
S
Same-Deodorant
Entry 48¢·217.4 shares
$-103INV $104 · WR 55.8%
P
polpotatoeshedged
Entry 50¢·150 shares·also $90 on NO
$-74INV $75 · WR 55.8%
H
hexogon
Entry 56¢·121.1 shares
$-68INV $68 · WR 57.4%
_
_test_i075_T1hedged
Entry 31¢·216.7 shares·also $65 on NO
$-67INV $68 · WR 59.4%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·99.6 shares·also $52 on NO
$-49INV $50 · WR 57.0%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 38¢·110 shares·also $60 on NO
$-41INV $42 · WR 60.6%
Showing top 10 of 52

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 33% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15…