Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$1.4K
2,993 trades
Smart Whales
81
of 717 traders · 18 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
60 YESvs39 NO
61%39%
61% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 81% YES by dollars · 51 YES vs 17 NO taking a side · 5 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 92%· net of hedges
+515 new YES$31.9K+363 new NO$6.3K
$8.1K of this was bought on both sides by the same 186 buyers — left out of momentum
54 smart whales31 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 59% of the money is not a bet
$367 of $4.4K is held equally on both sides by 4 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $2.2K is hedged across different prices by 14 wallets. True directional: YES $1.5K·NO $345YES Team
Total Invested
$2.8K
Avg Win Rate
61.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.8K(+62.1%)
Whales
60
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,420.8 shares·also $487 on NO
Invested
$710
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$710
+$710INV $710 · WR 58.5%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·730 shares·also $358 on NO
Invested
$365
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$365
+$365INV $365 · WR 56.4%
1
13897651🥉hedged
Entry 62¢·309.6 shares·also $84 on NO
Invested
$193
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$117
+$117INV $193 · WR 56.6%
O
ohioismhedged
Entry 83¢·202.7 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$168
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $168 · WR 59.9%
J
jhjhjhjhjhhedged
Entry 96¢·130 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$125
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $125 · WR 55.0%
N
not-epsteinhedged
Entry 97¢·120 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$116
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $116 · WR 60.3%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
+$90
+$90INV $90 · WR 55.8%
K
Kaiji-ThePredictionMarketAnalysthedged
Entry 94¢·91.7 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$87
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $87 · WR 88.9%
H
hehexd69
Entry 78¢·110 shares
Invested
$86
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $86 · WR 59.1%
M
moneymaker748
Entry 98¢·85.9 shares
Invested
$84
Win Rate
91.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $84 · WR 91.1%
Showing top 10 of 60
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.7K
Avg Win Rate
58.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.6K(-96.7%)
Whales
39
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·973.1 shares·also $710 on YES
Invested
$487
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-486
$-486INV $487 · WR 58.5%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·715 shares·also $365 on YES
Invested
$358
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-357
$-357INV $358 · WR 56.4%
S
Stimulating-Power🥉
Entry 39¢·458.3 shares
Invested
$181
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-180
$-180INV $181 · WR 62.1%
P
Paulymarketer
Entry 6¢·1,893.1 shares
Invested
$107
Win Rate
64.6%
Position P&L
$-106
$-106INV $107 · WR 64.6%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-90
$-90INV $90 · WR 55.8%
1
13897651hedged
Entry 55¢·152.4 shares·also $193 on YES
Invested
$84
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-84
$-84INV $84 · WR 56.6%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $74 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $60 · WR 60.6%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $38 · WR 56.7%
T
tarnoblistboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $38 · WR 66.8%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·72.2 shares·also $39 on YES
Invested
$36
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $36 · WR 57.0%
Showing top 10 of 39
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