Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$15
10 trades
Smart Whales
54
of 6 traders · 13 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
44 YESvs23 NO
66%34%
66% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 98% YES by dollars · 39 YES vs 11 NO taking a side · 4 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 56%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$9+4 new NO$11
$5 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 28% of the money is not a bet
$112 of $5.3K is held equally on both sides by 2 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.4K is hedged across different prices by 11 wallets. True directional: YES $3.7K·NO $80YES Team
Total Invested
$4.4K
Avg Win Rate
78.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$981(+22.1%)
Whales
44
7
7kFromBigYahu🥇
Entry 99¢·1,500 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
91.6%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $1.5K · WR 91.6%
H
hoodquant🥈
Entry 99¢·837.9 shares
Invested
$830
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $830 · WR 85.4%
A
arcsine-barrister🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·1,204.4 shares·also $551 on NO
Invested
$602
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$602
+$602INV $602 · WR 58.5%
M
moneymaker748
Entry 98¢·250 shares
Invested
$245
Win Rate
91.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $245 · WR 91.1%
S
stcharlos3
Entry 99¢·201 shares
Invested
$199
Win Rate
67.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $199 · WR 67.6%
J
jhjhjhjhjhhedged
Entry 96¢·130 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$125
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $125 · WR 55.0%
N
not-epsteinhedged
Entry 97¢·120 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$117
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $117 · WR 60.3%
_
_test_i075_T1hedged
Entry 95¢·98 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$93
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $93 · WR 59.4%
O
ohioism
Entry 67¢·101.7 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $68 · WR 59.9%
Z
zxzxzxzxzxzxzhedged
Entry 52¢·112.8 shares·also $58 on NO
Invested
$59
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
+$54
+$54INV $59 · WR 59.3%
Showing top 10 of 44
NO Team
Total Invested
$814
Avg Win Rate
60.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$813(-99.8%)
Whales
23
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,102.9 shares·also $602 on YES
Invested
$551
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-551
$-551INV $551 · WR 58.5%
Z
zxzxzxzxzxzxz🥈hedged
Entry 52¢·112.8 shares·also $59 on YES
Invested
$58
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
$-58
$-58INV $58 · WR 59.3%
T
tarnoblist🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $38 · WR 66.8%
X
Xecre
Entry 7¢·385.1 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
82.1%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $27 · WR 82.1%
5
5ffpa4fhedged
Entry 49¢·50 shares·also $25 on YES
Invested
$25
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $25 · WR 56.2%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on YES
Invested
$19
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $19 · WR 58.0%
X
xhftlm
Entry 51¢·30 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
58.2%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $15 · WR 58.2%
P
pmbt01
Entry 48¢·25 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $12 · WR 65.7%
J
joindohedged
Entry 7¢·157.1 shares·also $10 on YES
Invested
$12
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $12 · WR 81.6%
B
Bitaohedged
Entry 37¢·30 shares·also $14 on YES
Invested
$11
Win Rate
91.9%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $11 · WR 91.9%
Showing top 10 of 23
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