Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
YES Price
31¢
31% implied
NO Price
69¢
69% implied
Volume
$21
3,935 trades
Smart Whales
105
of 815 traders · 23 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
79 YESvs49 NO
62%38%
62% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 81% YES by dollars · 45 YES vs 27 NO taking a side · 8 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 71%· net of hedges
+579 new YES$40.6K+466 new NO$23.5K
$24.2K of this was bought on both sides by the same 248 buyers — left out of momentum
73 smart whales46 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 44% of the money is not a bet
$1.3K of $5.8K is held equally on both sides by 6 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.3K is hedged across different prices by 17 wallets. True directional: YES $2.6K·NO $610YES Team
Total Invested
$6.9K
Avg Win Rate
69.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$280(-4.1%)
Whales
79
A
algodream🥇
Entry 99¢·1,200 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
$-822
$-822INV $1.2K · WR 63.6%
H
hevenshine🥈
Entry 92¢·927 shares
Invested
$857
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$66
+$66INV $857 · WR 56.7%
J
Jawako🥉
Entry 50¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$500
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-195
$-195INV $500 · WR 87.7%
V
V612
Entry 99¢·500 shares
Invested
$495
Win Rate
91.3%
Position P&L
$-343
$-343INV $495 · WR 91.3%
A
arcsine-barristerhedged
Entry 50¢·849.1 shares·also $489 on NO
Invested
$425
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$420
+$420INV $425 · WR 58.5%
M
mia1111
Entry 99¢·400 shares
Invested
$396
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
$-274
$-274INV $396 · WR 67.2%
E
0xe1e556d1...both sides
Entry 50¢·721.9 shares·also $360 on NO
Invested
$361
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$357
+$357INV $361 · WR 56.4%
O
ohioism
Entry 72¢·347.8 shares
Invested
$250
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$96
+$96INV $250 · WR 59.9%
M
moneymaker748
Entry 98¢·250 shares
Invested
$245
Win Rate
91.1%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $245 · WR 91.1%
A
Aniu7
Entry 99¢·202 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
88.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $200 · WR 88.3%
Showing top 10 of 79
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.0K
Avg Win Rate
58.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.8K(-92.4%)
Whales
49
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·977.1 shares·also $425 on YES
Invested
$489
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-484
$-484INV $489 · WR 58.5%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·720 shares·also $361 on YES
Invested
$360
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-356
$-356INV $360 · WR 56.4%
P
Political-Complaint🥉hedged
Entry 68¢·194.3 shares·also $25 on YES
Invested
$133
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-132
$-132INV $133 · WR 56.1%
H
Haunting-Cheese
Entry 5¢·2,342.9 shares
Invested
$114
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-102
$-102INV $114 · WR 55.5%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.8%
Z
zxzxzxzxzxzxzhedged
Entry 53¢·151 shares·also $74 on YES
Invested
$80
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
$-79
$-79INV $80 · WR 59.3%
H
Hinkeboth sides
Entry 50¢·150 shares·also $75 on YES
Invested
$75
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-74
$-74INV $75 · WR 57.0%
S
styggvan
Entry 80¢·85 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
$-68
$-68INV $68 · WR 58.3%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $60 · WR 60.6%
H
hehexd69hedged
Entry 68¢·60 shares·also $19 on YES
Invested
$41
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
$-41
$-41INV $41 · WR 59.1%
Showing top 10 of 49
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