Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
YES Price
48¢
48% implied
NO Price
52¢
52% implied
Volume
$31
3,783 trades
Smart Whales
89
of 781 traders · 26 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
43 YESvs72 NO
37%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 8% YES by dollars · 18 YES vs 53 NO taking a side · 6 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 82%· net of hedges
+467 new YES$13.9K+548 new NO$35.2K
$15.8K of this was bought on both sides by the same 257 buyers — left out of momentum
36 smart whales68 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 46% of the money is not a bet
$367 of $5.8K is held equally on both sides by 4 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $2.3K is hedged across different prices by 22 wallets. True directional: YES $237·NO $2.9KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.6K
Avg Win Rate
60.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.5K(-92.9%)
Whales
43
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·899.4 shares·also $704 on NO
Invested
$450
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-445
$-445INV $450 · WR 58.5%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·735 shares·also $350 on NO
Invested
$368
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-364
$-364INV $368 · WR 56.4%
P
polpotatoes🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.8%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $58 on NO
Invested
$60
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $60 · WR 57.0%
J
jocarlo
Entry 45¢·117 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-52
$-52INV $52 · WR 65.1%
D
Dumbfoll
Entry 47¢·100 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
$-46
$-46INV $47 · WR 63.0%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 40¢·110 shares·also $60 on NO
Invested
$44
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-43
$-43INV $44 · WR 60.6%
S
soswald1hedged
Entry 41¢·91.5 shares·also $30 on NO
Invested
$38
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $38 · WR 55.0%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
Invested
$38
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $38 · WR 56.7%
T
tarnoblistboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
Invested
$38
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $38 · WR 66.8%
Showing top 10 of 43
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.5K
Avg Win Rate
65.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.3K(+51.3%)
Whales
72
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,408.1 shares·also $450 on YES
Invested
$704
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$697
+$697INV $704 · WR 58.5%
S
Stimulating-Power🥈
Entry 48¢·1,050 shares
Invested
$508
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
+$537
+$537INV $508 · WR 62.1%
M
mia1111🥉
Entry 99¢·400 shares
Invested
$396
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $396 · WR 67.2%
E
0xe1e556d1...hedged
Entry 50¢·700 shares·also $368 on YES
Invested
$350
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$347
+$347INV $350 · WR 56.4%
M
moneymaker748
Entry 98¢·250 shares
Invested
$245
Win Rate
91.1%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $245 · WR 91.1%
S
stcharlos3
Entry 99¢·201 shares
Invested
$199
Win Rate
67.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $199 · WR 67.6%
S
Scared-Puffin
Entry 98¢·150 shares
Invested
$148
Win Rate
82.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $148 · WR 82.1%
J
jhjhjhjhjhhedged
Entry 96¢·130 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$125
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-57
$-57INV $125 · WR 55.0%
_
_test_i075_T1hedged
Entry 62¢·189.7 shares·also $27 on YES
Invested
$117
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$72
+$72INV $117 · WR 59.4%
N
not-epsteinhedged
Entry 94¢·120 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$113
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $113 · WR 60.3%
Showing top 10 of 72
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