Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$944
99 trades
Smart Whales
62
of 64 traders · 17 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
53 YESvs26 NO
67%33%
67% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 88% YES by dollars · 47 YES vs 12 NO taking a side · 3 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 81%· net of hedges
+504 new YES$25.6K+357 new NO$10.1K
$11.0K of this was bought on both sides by the same 185 buyers — left out of momentum
51 smart whales24 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 60% of the money is not a bet
$217 of $4.8K is held equally on both sides by 2 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $2.7K is hedged across different prices by 15 wallets. True directional: YES $1.7K·NO $233YES Team
Total Invested
$3.1K
Avg Win Rate
66.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.7K(+55.1%)
Whales
53
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,488.5 shares·also $685 on NO
Invested
$744
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$744
+$744INV $744 · WR 58.5%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·734.2 shares·also $374 on NO
Invested
$367
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$367
+$367INV $367 · WR 56.4%
M
moneymaker748🥉
Entry 98¢·250 shares
Invested
$245
Win Rate
91.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $245 · WR 91.1%
O
ohioism
Entry 82¢·225.2 shares
Invested
$186
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $186 · WR 59.9%
J
jhjhjhjhjhhedged
Entry 96¢·130 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$125
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $125 · WR 55.0%
N
not-epsteinhedged
Entry 97¢·120 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$117
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $117 · WR 60.3%
M
Mars9
Entry 99¢·101 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
88.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $100 · WR 88.3%
S
Scared-Puffin
Entry 98¢·100 shares
Invested
$98
Win Rate
82.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $98 · WR 82.1%
B
BottinaTheBeautiful
Entry 97¢·100 shares
Invested
$97
Win Rate
93.4%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $97 · WR 93.4%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
+$90
+$90INV $90 · WR 55.8%
Showing top 10 of 53
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.7K
Avg Win Rate
59.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.7K(-99.9%)
Whales
26
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,369.6 shares·also $744 on YES
Invested
$685
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-684
$-684INV $685 · WR 58.5%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·747.1 shares·also $367 on YES
Invested
$374
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-373
$-373INV $374 · WR 56.4%
S
Stimulating-Power🥉
Entry 49¢·304 shares
Invested
$148
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-147
$-147INV $148 · WR 62.1%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-90
$-90INV $90 · WR 55.8%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·135 shares·also $65 on YES
Invested
$68
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-67
$-67INV $68 · WR 57.0%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $67 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $60 · WR 60.6%
0
0DD909D9
Entry 43¢·100 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
69.1%
Position P&L
$-43
$-43INV $43 · WR 69.1%
H
highpolishedged
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $82 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $38 · WR 56.7%
T
tarnoblisthedged
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $82 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $38 · WR 66.8%
Z
zxzxzxzxzxzxzhedged
Entry 46¢·60 shares·also $28 on YES
Invested
$28
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $28 · WR 59.3%
Showing top 10 of 26
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