Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$11
98 trades
Smart Whales
49
of 60 traders · 20 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
40 YESvs29 NO
58%42%
58% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 56% YES by dollars · 27 YES vs 15 NO taking a side · 7 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 65%· net of hedges
+338 new YES$12.4K+282 new NO$8.6K
$8.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 127 buyers — left out of momentum
33 smart whales23 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 83% of the money is not a bet
$492 of $3.7K is held equally on both sides by 6 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $2.6K is hedged across different prices by 14 wallets. True directional: YES $356·NO $285YES Team
Total Invested
$1.9K
Avg Win Rate
59.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$868(+46.0%)
Whales
40
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,500 shares·also $734 on NO
Invested
$750
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$398
+$398INV $750 · WR 58.5%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·716.8 shares·also $363 on NO
Invested
$358
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$190
+$190INV $358 · WR 56.4%
P
polpotatoes🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
+$48
+$48INV $90 · WR 55.8%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $63 on NO
Invested
$60
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $60 · WR 57.0%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
Invested
$60
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $60 · WR 60.6%
Y
yuewei888
Entry 67¢·76.9 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $51 · WR 55.2%
D
dgg33
Entry 67¢·76.9 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $51 · WR 61.0%
A
ApexTitan
Entry 67¢·76.9 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
82.6%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $51 · WR 82.6%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
Invested
$38
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $38 · WR 56.7%
T
tarnoblistboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
Invested
$38
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $38 · WR 66.8%
Showing top 10 of 40
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.8K
Avg Win Rate
60.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$958(-52.8%)
Whales
29
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,468.7 shares·also $750 on YES
Invested
$734
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-389
$-389INV $734 · WR 58.5%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·725 shares·also $358 on YES
Invested
$363
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-192
$-192INV $363 · WR 56.4%
J
joindo🥉
Entry 46¢·252.3 shares
Invested
$115
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
$-56
$-56INV $115 · WR 81.6%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-48
$-48INV $90 · WR 55.8%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·125 shares·also $60 on YES
Invested
$63
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-33
$-33INV $63 · WR 57.0%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-32
$-32INV $60 · WR 60.6%
_
_test_i075_T1hedged
Entry 52¢·106.1 shares·also $35 on YES
Invested
$55
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $55 · WR 59.4%
9
0x998fc57b...hedged
Entry 58¢·89.8 shares·also $18 on YES
Invested
$52
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-31
$-31INV $52 · WR 56.5%
Z
zxzxzxzxzxzxzhedged
Entry 63¢·60 shares·also $31 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $38 · WR 59.3%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $38 · WR 56.7%
Showing top 10 of 29
Smart Whale Trades
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