Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
YES Price
50¢
50% implied
NO Price
50¢
50% implied
Volume
$233
3,517 trades
Smart Whales
89
of 773 traders · 23 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
59 YESvs53 NO
53%47%
53% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 52% YES by dollars · 31 YES vs 26 NO taking a side · 9 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 80%· net of hedges
+514 new YES$30.6K+485 new NO$14.3K
$17.5K of this was bought on both sides by the same 238 buyers — left out of momentum
56 smart whales45 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 79% of the money is not a bet
$2.4K of $4.0K is held equally on both sides by 7 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $723 is hedged across different prices by 16 wallets. True directional: YES $449·NO $411YES Team
Total Invested
$4.1K
Avg Win Rate
61.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$118(-2.9%)
Whales
59
A
algodream🥇
Entry 99¢·1,054.1 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
$-522
$-522INV $1.0K · WR 63.6%
A
arcsine-barrister🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·1,301 shares·also $654 on NO
Invested
$650
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$319
+$319INV $650 · WR 58.5%
M
mia1111🥉hedged
Entry 99¢·400 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$396
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
$-198
$-198INV $396 · WR 67.2%
E
0xe1e556d1...both sides
Entry 50¢·750 shares·also $375 on NO
Invested
$375
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$184
+$184INV $375 · WR 56.4%
1
13897651hedged
Entry 59¢·329.1 shares·also $67 on NO
Invested
$194
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$51
+$51INV $194 · WR 56.6%
J
jhjhjhjhjhhedged
Entry 95¢·191.8 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$183
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-88
$-88INV $183 · WR 55.0%
Y
yurlppy
Entry 81¢·154.7 shares
Invested
$125
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-49
$-49INV $125 · WR 57.9%
N
not-epsteinhedged
Entry 97¢·120 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$116
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-57
$-57INV $116 · WR 60.3%
D
degen-SDFENGISDFEKS
Entry 50¢·200 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
94.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $100 · WR 94.2%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $90 · WR 55.8%
Showing top 10 of 59
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.0K
Avg Win Rate
59.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$754(-37.2%)
Whales
53
A
arcsine-barrister🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·1,308 shares·also $650 on YES
Invested
$654
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-320
$-320INV $654 · WR 58.5%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·750 shares·also $375 on YES
Invested
$375
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-184
$-184INV $375 · WR 56.4%
S
Stimulating-Power🥉
Entry 38¢·607.6 shares
Invested
$229
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-74
$-74INV $229 · WR 62.1%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-44
$-44INV $90 · WR 55.8%
1
13897651hedged
Entry 53¢·126 shares·also $194 on YES
Invested
$67
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $67 · WR 56.6%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $57 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $60 · WR 60.6%
_
_test_i075_T1hedged
Entry 42¢·133.9 shares·also $35 on YES
Invested
$56
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $56 · WR 59.4%
O
ohioismhedged
Entry 55¢·100.1 shares·also $44 on YES
Invested
$55
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $55 · WR 59.9%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·95 shares·also $50 on YES
Invested
$48
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $48 · WR 57.0%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $38 · WR 56.7%
Showing top 10 of 53
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