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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$70.1K
7,011 trades
Smart Whales
154
of 1,158 traders · 30 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

74 YESvs110 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 16% YES by dollars · 41 YES vs 91 NO taking a side · 3 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 86%· net of hedges
+655 new YES$22.3K+788 new NO$67.4K
$26.6K of this was bought on both sides by the same 308 buyers — left out of momentum
70 smart whales107 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 27% of the money is not a bet
$255 of $8.5K is held equally on both sides by 2 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $2.0K is hedged across different prices by 28 wallets. True directional: YES $1.0K·NO $5.2K
YES Team
Total Invested
$3.1K
Avg Win Rate
62.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.0K(-62.9%)
Whales
74
P
Pesky-Fiber🥇
Entry 45¢·2,000 shares
+$113INV $897 · WR 63.6%
S
Stimulating-Power🥈
Entry 16¢·3,024.4 shares
$-470INV $485 · WR 62.1%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·678 shares·also $325 on NO
$-336INV $339 · WR 56.4%
G
GuiVikinghedged
Entry 41¢·256.2 shares·also $101 on NO
$-103INV $104 · WR 100.0%
O
ohioismhedged
Entry 37¢·266.7 shares·also $141 on NO
$-98INV $99 · WR 59.9%
A
arcsine-barristerhedged
Entry 50¢·189.4 shares·also $366 on NO
$-94INV $95 · WR 58.5%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.8%
V
vlabs
Entry 53¢·155.8 shares
$-82INV $83 · WR 57.6%
I
inmortal88-88
Entry 39¢·173 shares
$-66INV $67 · WR 58.3%
L
lelimarket
Entry 41¢·104.6 shares
$-43INV $43 · WR 58.0%
Showing top 10 of 74

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 40% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15…