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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$1.2K
132 trades
Smart Whales
53
of 59 traders · 23 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

33 YESvs43 NO
43%57%
57% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 19% YES by dollars · 11 YES vs 33 NO taking a side · 9 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 75%· net of hedges
+384 new YES$8.6K+376 new NO$14.5K
$11.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 173 buyers — left out of momentum
34 smart whales38 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 81% of the money is not a bet
$642 of $3.6K is held equally on both sides by 7 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $2.2K is hedged across different prices by 16 wallets. True directional: YES $130·NO $545
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.6K
Avg Win Rate
60.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$626(+39.9%)
Whales
33
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,309.2 shares·also $746 on NO
+$190INV $655 · WR 58.5%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·750 shares·also $360 on NO
+$109INV $375 · WR 56.4%
P
polpotatoes🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
+$26INV $90 · WR 55.8%
L
lindashuai
Entry 31¢·266.7 shares
+$88INV $84 · WR 80.7%
H
Hinkeboth sides
Entry 50¢·150 shares·also $75 on NO
+$22INV $75 · WR 57.0%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
+$17INV $60 · WR 60.6%
T
tarnoblistboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
+$11INV $38 · WR 66.8%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
+$11INV $38 · WR 56.7%
_
_test_i075_T1hedged
Entry 29¢·119.5 shares·also $43 on NO
+$42INV $35 · WR 59.4%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on NO
+$5INV $19 · WR 58.0%
Showing top 10 of 33

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 53% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15…