Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$691
48 trades
Smart Whales
58
of 43 traders · 15 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
44 YESvs29 NO
60%40%
60% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 96% YES by dollars · 38 YES vs 14 NO taking a side · 5 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 86%· net of hedges
+390 new YES$19.1K+346 new NO$5.7K
$6.0K of this was bought on both sides by the same 145 buyers — left out of momentum
43 smart whales28 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 69% of the money is not a bet
$487 of $4.1K is held equally on both sides by 4 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $2.3K is hedged across different prices by 11 wallets. True directional: YES $1.2K·NO $57YES Team
Total Invested
$2.6K
Avg Win Rate
65.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$279(+10.6%)
Whales
44
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,500 shares·also $641 on NO
Invested
$750
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$263
+$263INV $750 · WR 58.5%
L
lsz111🥈
Entry 92¢·439.3 shares
Invested
$402
Win Rate
84.7%
Position P&L
$-106
$-106INV $402 · WR 84.7%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·730 shares·also $360 on NO
Invested
$365
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$128
+$128INV $365 · WR 56.4%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $90 · WR 55.8%
Z
zxzxzxzxzxzxzhedged
Entry 79¢·113.4 shares·also $44 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $90 · WR 59.3%
H
highpolishedged
Entry 67¢·120 shares·also $38 on NO
Invested
$80
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $80 · WR 56.7%
T
tarnoblisthedged
Entry 66¢·120 shares·also $38 on NO
Invested
$79
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $79 · WR 66.8%
H
Hinkeboth sides
Entry 50¢·150 shares·also $75 on NO
Invested
$75
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $75 · WR 57.0%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
Invested
$60
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $60 · WR 60.6%
L
lindashuai
Entry 92¢·54.9 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
80.7%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $50 · WR 80.7%
Showing top 10 of 44
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.5K
Avg Win Rate
58.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$444(-30.2%)
Whales
29
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,282.3 shares·also $750 on YES
Invested
$641
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-224
$-224INV $641 · WR 58.5%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·720 shares·also $365 on YES
Invested
$360
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-126
$-126INV $360 · WR 56.4%
P
polpotatoes🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-32
$-32INV $90 · WR 55.8%
H
Hinkeboth sides
Entry 50¢·150 shares·also $75 on YES
Invested
$75
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $75 · WR 57.0%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $60 · WR 60.6%
Z
zxzxzxzxzxzxzhedged
Entry 38¢·113.5 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$44
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $44 · WR 59.3%
1
13897651hedged
Entry 52¢·80 shares·also $45 on YES
Invested
$41
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $41 · WR 56.6%
T
tarnoblisthedged
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $79 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $38 · WR 66.8%
H
highpolishedged
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $80 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $38 · WR 56.7%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on YES
Invested
$19
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $19 · WR 58.0%
Showing top 10 of 29
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