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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
78¢
78% implied
NO Price
22¢
22% implied
Volume
$2.2K
4,506 trades
Smart Whales
125
of 949 traders · 26 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

62 YESvs89 NO
41%59%
59% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 30% YES by dollars · 42 YES vs 63 NO taking a side · 5 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 56%· net of hedges
+576 new YES$21.6K+636 new NO$24.2K
$23.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 280 buyers — left out of momentum
60 smart whales79 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 57% of the money is not a bet
$187 of $5.5K is held equally on both sides by 2 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $2.9K is hedged across different prices by 24 wallets. True directional: YES $710·NO $1.7K
YES Team
Total Invested
$2.3K
Avg Win Rate
60.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.2K(-96.3%)
Whales
62
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,412.3 shares·also $661 on NO
$-699INV $706 · WR 58.5%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·685.9 shares·also $359 on NO
$-340INV $343 · WR 56.4%
S
Stimulating-Power🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·434 shares·also $5 on NO
$-213INV $216 · WR 62.1%
1
13897651hedged
Entry 57¢·293.6 shares·also $109 on NO
$-167INV $168 · WR 56.6%
P
polpotatoeshedged
Entry 51¢·183.1 shares·also $90 on NO
$-92INV $93 · WR 55.8%
H
Hinkeboth sides
Entry 50¢·150 shares·also $75 on NO
$-74INV $75 · WR 57.0%
T
tarnoblisthedged
Entry 62¢·120.6 shares·also $38 on NO
$-74INV $75 · WR 66.8%
H
highpolishedged
Entry 62¢·120.6 shares·also $38 on NO
$-74INV $75 · WR 56.7%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 52¢·130 shares·also $60 on NO
$-67INV $68 · WR 60.6%
P
Posh-Hormone-Allocation
Entry 57¢·90.9 shares
$-51INV $52 · WR 57.1%
Showing top 10 of 62

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 40% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15…