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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$22.6K
2,680 trades
Smart Whales
77
of 690 traders · 13 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

31 YESvs59 NO
34%66%
66% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 12% YES by dollars · 16 YES vs 38 NO taking a side · 4 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 86%· net of hedges
+350 new YES$7.0K+471 new NO$24.5K
$7.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 156 buyers — left out of momentum
28 smart whales53 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 76% of the money is not a bet
$487 of $3.5K is held equally on both sides by 4 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $2.1K is hedged across different prices by 9 wallets. True directional: YES $104·NO $744
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.8K
Avg Win Rate
60.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.4K(-76.3%)
Whales
31
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,056.1 shares·also $736 on NO
$-470INV $528 · WR 58.5%
M
mia1111🥈
Entry 101¢·400 shares
$-201INV $403 · WR 67.2%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·740 shares·also $375 on NO
$-329INV $370 · WR 56.4%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-80INV $90 · WR 55.8%
H
Hinkeboth sides
Entry 50¢·150 shares·also $75 on NO
$-67INV $75 · WR 57.0%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
$-53INV $60 · WR 60.6%
1
13897651hedged
Entry 52¢·101.3 shares·also $130 on NO
$-52INV $53 · WR 56.6%
P
Posh-Hormone-Allocation
Entry 56¢·91.3 shares
$-47INV $52 · WR 57.1%
T
tarnoblisthedged
Entry 46¢·107 shares·also $38 on NO
$-43INV $49 · WR 66.8%
H
highpolishedged
Entry 45¢·103.2 shares·also $38 on NO
$-40INV $46 · WR 56.7%
Showing top 10 of 31

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 34% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15…