Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$45.0K
6,018 trades
Smart Whales
131
of 1,082 traders · 31 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
89 YESvs73 NO
55%45%
55% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 75% YES by dollars · 62 YES vs 39 NO taking a side · 5 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 58%· net of hedges
+762 new YES$33.4K+626 new NO$28.1K
$29.6K of this was bought on both sides by the same 328 buyers — left out of momentum
83 smart whales64 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 55% of the money is not a bet
$225 of $5.5K is held equally on both sides by 2 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $2.8K is hedged across different prices by 29 wallets. True directional: YES $1.8K·NO $600YES Team
Total Invested
$3.7K
Avg Win Rate
70.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.3K(+61.3%)
Whales
89
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,206.8 shares·also $518 on NO
Invested
$603
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$603
+$603INV $603 · WR 58.5%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·641.7 shares·also $328 on NO
Invested
$321
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$321
+$321INV $321 · WR 56.4%
M
moneymaker748🥉
Entry 98¢·250 shares
Invested
$245
Win Rate
91.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $245 · WR 91.1%
A
absolute.unit
Entry 54¢·381.2 shares
Invested
$208
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$174
+$174INV $208 · WR 88.9%
A
Aniu7
Entry 99¢·202 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
88.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $200 · WR 88.3%
M
magnsushedged
Entry 87¢·185.2 shares·also $17 on NO
Invested
$161
Win Rate
95.7%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $161 · WR 95.7%
J
jhjhjhjhjhhedged
Entry 96¢·130 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$125
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $125 · WR 55.0%
N
not-epstein
Entry 97¢·120 shares
Invested
$116
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-56
$-56INV $116 · WR 60.3%
D
degen-SDFENGISDFEKS
Entry 93¢·125.5 shares
Invested
$116
Win Rate
94.2%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $116 · WR 94.2%
P
polpotatoeshedged
Entry 54¢·210 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$114
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
+$96
+$96INV $114 · WR 55.8%
Showing top 10 of 89
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.5K
Avg Win Rate
63.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.1K(-84.8%)
Whales
73
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,035.4 shares·also $603 on YES
Invested
$518
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-518
$-518INV $518 · WR 58.5%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·655.7 shares·also $321 on YES
Invested
$328
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-328
$-328INV $328 · WR 56.4%
L
lindashuai🥉
Entry 79¢·216.6 shares
Invested
$172
Win Rate
80.7%
Position P&L
$-172
$-172INV $172 · WR 80.7%
1
13897651
Entry 61¢·270.2 shares
Invested
$165
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-31
$-31INV $165 · WR 56.6%
T
thenumbersmasonn
Entry 69¢·220.7 shares
Invested
$153
Win Rate
80.7%
Position P&L
$-153
$-153INV $153 · WR 80.7%
P
polpotatoeshedged
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $114 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-90
$-90INV $90 · WR 55.8%
H
Hinkeboth sides
Entry 50¢·150 shares·also $75 on YES
Invested
$75
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-75
$-75INV $75 · WR 57.0%
S
Safe-Howitzer-Ecliptichedged
Entry 19¢·359 shares·also $112 on YES
Invested
$68
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-68
$-68INV $68 · WR 56.3%
9
0x998fc57b...hedged
Entry 72¢·88.4 shares·also $15 on YES
Invested
$63
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-63
$-63INV $63 · WR 56.5%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $64 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $60 · WR 60.6%
Showing top 10 of 73
Smart Whale Trades
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