Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$34.2K
5,385 trades
Smart Whales
120
of 992 traders · 32 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
78 YESvs74 NO
51%49%
51% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 72% YES by dollars · 57 YES vs 41 NO taking a side · 5 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 76%· net of hedges
+621 new YES$29.8K+646 new NO$17.1K
$22.6K of this was bought on both sides by the same 299 buyers — left out of momentum
74 smart whales66 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 51% of the money is not a bet
$193 of $5.0K is held equally on both sides by 2 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $2.4K is hedged across different prices by 30 wallets. True directional: YES $1.8K·NO $680YES Team
Total Invested
$3.1K
Avg Win Rate
65.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.2K(+69.1%)
Whales
78
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,436.2 shares·also $606 on NO
Invested
$718
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$711
+$711INV $718 · WR 58.5%
M
moneymaker748🥈
Entry 98¢·250 shares
Invested
$245
Win Rate
91.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $245 · WR 91.1%
S
Stimulating-Power🥉hedged
Entry 49¢·489.3 shares·also $46 on NO
Invested
$238
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
+$249
+$249INV $238 · WR 62.2%
_
_test_i075_T1hedged
Entry 57¢·272.1 shares·also $5 on NO
Invested
$155
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$115
+$115INV $155 · WR 59.6%
N
not-epsteinhedged
Entry 97¢·120 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$117
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $117 · WR 60.0%
A
Atomforge
Entry 48¢·241.3 shares
Invested
$116
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
+$124
+$124INV $116 · WR 64.1%
Z
zxzxzxzxzxzxzhedged
Entry 58¢·193.5 shares·also $67 on NO
Invested
$111
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
+$81
+$81INV $111 · WR 59.3%
M
Mars9
Entry 99¢·101 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
88.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $100 · WR 88.3%
U
Unequaled-Title
Entry 96¢·103.1 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
83.4%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $99 · WR 83.4%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$89
+$89INV $90 · WR 55.9%
Showing top 10 of 78
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.0K
Avg Win Rate
60.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.9K(-94.9%)
Whales
74
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,212.1 shares·also $718 on YES
Invested
$606
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-600
$-600INV $606 · WR 58.5%
_
_test_i086_e2_1790676143_0🥈hedged
Entry 60¢·194.3 shares·also $64 on YES
Invested
$117
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-116
$-116INV $117 · WR 61.1%
.
.kairos🥉
Entry 58¢·184.6 shares
Invested
$107
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-106
$-106INV $107 · WR 58.7%
V
vlabs
Entry 52¢·174.3 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $90 · WR 57.5%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.9%
D
dsdfsdfsdfsdfhedged
Entry 58¢·150 shares·also $78 on YES
Invested
$87
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-86
$-86INV $87 · WR 56.3%
U
ubohub
Entry 45¢·158.1 shares
Invested
$71
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-70
$-70INV $71 · WR 72.0%
Z
zxzxzxzxzxzxzhedged
Entry 35¢·193.4 shares·also $111 on YES
Invested
$67
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
$-66
$-66INV $67 · WR 59.3%
V
viniangussohedged
Entry 57¢·105 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $60 · WR 55.2%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $77 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $60 · WR 60.5%
Showing top 10 of 74
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