Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
YES Price
50ยข
50% implied
NO Price
50ยข
50% implied
Volume
$523
37 trades
Smart Whales
72
of 28 traders ยท 19 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
64 YESvs27 NO
70%30%
70% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars ยท 57 YES vs 12 NO taking a side ยท 2 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 92%ยท net of hedges
+440 new YES$23.5K+333 new NO$4.2K
$4.6K of this was bought on both sides by the same 149 buyers โ left out of momentum
64 smart whales23 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis ยท 39% of the money is not a bet
$255 of $6.8K is held equally on both sides by 2 wallets โ not a bet on the outcome. $2.4K is hedged across different prices by 17 wallets. True directional: YES $4.1KยทNO $46YES Team
Total Invested
$5.5K
Avg Win Rate
78.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.6K(+30.1%)
Whales
64
P
polixenia๐ฅ
Entry 99ยขยท2,019.8 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
92.1%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $2.0K ยท WR 92.1%
A
arcsine-barrister๐ฅhedged
Entry 50ยขยท1,349.9 sharesยทalso $609 on NO
Invested
$675
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$668
+$668INV $675 ยท WR 58.5%
L
lsz111๐ฅ
Entry 85ยขยท475.4 shares
Invested
$404
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
+$69
+$69INV $404 ยท WR 86.7%
E
0xe1e556d1...hedged
Entry 50ยขยท750 sharesยทalso $360 on NO
Invested
$375
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$371
+$371INV $375 ยท WR 56.4%
H
hoodquant
Entry 99ยขยท313 shares
Invested
$310
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $310 ยท WR 84.9%
M
moneymaker748
Entry 98ยขยท250 shares
Invested
$245
Win Rate
91.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $245 ยท WR 91.1%
N
not-epsteinhedged
Entry 97ยขยท120 sharesยทalso $2 on NO
Invested
$117
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $117 ยท WR 60.0%
H
highpolishedged
Entry 93ยขยท117.6 sharesยทalso $38 on NO
Invested
$110
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $110 ยท WR 56.7%
S
Stimulating-Power
Entry 49ยขยท223 shares
Invested
$109
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
+$113
+$113INV $109 ยท WR 62.2%
T
Tame-Want-Sister
Entry 92ยขยท109.2 shares
Invested
$101
Win Rate
86.9%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $101 ยท WR 86.9%
Showing top 10 of 64
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.4K
Avg Win Rate
58.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.4K(-98.9%)
Whales
27
A
arcsine-barrister๐ฅhedged
Entry 50ยขยท1,218.7 sharesยทalso $675 on YES
Invested
$609
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-603
$-603INV $609 ยท WR 58.5%
E
0xe1e556d1...๐ฅhedged
Entry 50ยขยท720 sharesยทalso $375 on YES
Invested
$360
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-356
$-356INV $360 ยท WR 56.4%
P
polpotatoes๐ฅboth sides
Entry 50ยขยท180 sharesยทalso $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $90 ยท WR 55.9%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50ยขยท129.4 sharesยทalso $62 on YES
Invested
$65
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-64
$-64INV $65 ยท WR 57.0%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50ยขยท120 sharesยทalso $59 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $60 ยท WR 60.5%
P
palmeroscaboth sides
Entry 50ยขยท75 sharesยทalso $38 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
63.7%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $38 ยท WR 63.7%
H
highpolishedged
Entry 50ยขยท75 sharesยทalso $110 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $38 ยท WR 56.7%
T
tarnoblisthedged
Entry 50ยขยท75 sharesยทalso $36 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $38 ยท WR 67.0%
A
Aggressive-Chill-Urge
Entry 55ยขยท16 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $9 ยท WR 55.1%
H
hehexd69
Entry 15ยขยท47.2 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $7 ยท WR 59.2%
Showing top 10 of 27
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