Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
YES Price
38¢
38% implied
NO Price
62¢
62% implied
Volume
$4
3,271 trades
Smart Whales
72
of 719 traders · 27 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
36 YESvs63 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 24% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 49 NO taking a side · 5 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%· net of hedges
+488 new YES$10.0K+624 new NO$33.5K
$12.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 271 buyers — left out of momentum
34 smart whales66 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 79% of the money is not a bet
$1.1K of $4.1K is held equally on both sides by 5 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $2.1K is hedged across different prices by 22 wallets. True directional: YES $205·NO $654YES Team
Total Invested
$2.0K
Avg Win Rate
59.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.5K(-79.1%)
Whales
36
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,372.5 shares·also $750 on NO
Invested
$686
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-570
$-570INV $686 · WR 58.5%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·747.9 shares·also $373 on NO
Invested
$374
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-310
$-310INV $374 · WR 56.4%
U
Unimportant-Zoologist🥉hedged
Entry 79¢·180.5 shares·also $74 on NO
Invested
$143
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-75
$-75INV $143 · WR 55.8%
_
_test_i086_e2_1790676143_0hedged
Entry 45¢·211.7 shares·also $67 on NO
Invested
$95
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-77
$-77INV $95 · WR 61.1%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-75
$-75INV $90 · WR 55.9%
M
M888E
Entry 56¢·125.3 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
70.4%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $70 · WR 70.4%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·110 shares·also $60 on NO
Invested
$55
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
$-46
$-46INV $55 · WR 60.5%
H
hevenshinehedged
Entry 34¢·127 shares·also $46 on NO
Invested
$43
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-32
$-32INV $43 · WR 56.7%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·80 shares·also $43 on NO
Invested
$40
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-33
$-33INV $40 · WR 57.0%
1
13897651hedged
Entry 54¢·72.6 shares·also $60 on NO
Invested
$39
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-33
$-33INV $39 · WR 57.0%
Showing top 10 of 36
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.4K
Avg Win Rate
61.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.5K(+63.8%)
Whales
63
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,500 shares·also $686 on YES
Invested
$750
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$623
+$623INV $750 · WR 58.5%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·745 shares·also $374 on YES
Invested
$373
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$309
+$309INV $373 · WR 56.4%
P
polpotatoes🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$75
+$75INV $90 · WR 55.9%
K
Kaiji-ThePredictionMarketAnalysthedged
Entry 95¢·84.2 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$80
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $80 · WR 89.2%
U
Unimportant-Zoologisthedged
Entry 41¢·180.5 shares·also $143 on YES
Invested
$74
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $74 · WR 55.8%
_
_test_i086_e2_1790676143_0hedged
Entry 86¢·77.9 shares·also $95 on YES
Invested
$67
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $67 · WR 61.1%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $55 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $60 · WR 60.5%
1
13897651hedged
Entry 53¢·113.4 shares·also $39 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $60 · WR 57.0%
S
Safe-Howitzer-Ecliptic
Entry 56¢·100 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $56 · WR 56.3%
H
hevenshinehedged
Entry 56¢·82.3 shares·also $43 on YES
Invested
$46
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $46 · WR 56.7%
Showing top 10 of 63
Smart Whale Trades
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