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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$1.9K
171 trades
Smart Whales
48
of 81 traders · 18 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

37 YESvs29 NO
56%44%
56% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 72% YES by dollars · 21 YES vs 13 NO taking a side · 12 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 62%· net of hedges
+255 new YES$5.2K+239 new NO$7.2K
$4.5K of this was bought on both sides by the same 88 buyers — left out of momentum
23 smart whales18 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 85% of the money is not a bet
$1.3K of $3.6K is held equally on both sides by 10 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.8K is hedged across different prices by 8 wallets. True directional: YES $381·NO $148
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.9K
Avg Win Rate
58.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$203(-10.5%)
Whales
37
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,500 shares·also $639 on NO
$-98INV $750 · WR 58.5%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·742.1 shares·also $368 on NO
$-48INV $371 · WR 56.4%
1
13897651🥉hedged
Entry 48¢·469.7 shares·also $141 on NO
$-19INV $224 · WR 57.0%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-12INV $90 · WR 55.9%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·135 shares·also $70 on NO
$-9INV $68 · WR 57.0%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
$-8INV $60 · WR 60.5%
D
Dumbfoll
Entry 50¢·100 shares
$-6INV $50 · WR 63.1%
U
Unimportant-Zoologist
Entry 38¢·111.1 shares
+$7INV $42 · WR 55.8%
P
palmeroscaboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-5INV $38 · WR 63.7%
T
tarnoblistboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-5INV $38 · WR 67.0%
Showing top 10 of 37

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 46% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14…