Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$252
36 trades
Smart Whales
72
of 28 traders · 21 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
61 YESvs32 NO
66%34%
66% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 42% YES by dollars · 48 YES vs 15 NO taking a side · 9 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 67%· net of hedges
+463 new YES$16.9K+308 new NO$10.3K
$8.4K of this was bought on both sides by the same 191 buyers — left out of momentum
55 smart whales22 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 58% of the money is not a bet
$1.2K of $6.3K is held equally on both sides by 8 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $2.5K is hedged across different prices by 13 wallets. True directional: YES $1.1K·NO $1.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$2.9K
Avg Win Rate
60.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.4K(+80.7%)
Whales
61
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·2,000 shares·also $834 on NO
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$910
+$910INV $1.0K · WR 58.5%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·732.2 shares·also $366 on NO
Invested
$366
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$333
+$333INV $366 · WR 56.4%
1
13897651🥉hedged
Entry 51¢·512 shares·also $126 on NO
Invested
$261
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$228
+$228INV $261 · WR 57.0%
H
hehexd69hedged
Entry 52¢·400 shares·also $15 on NO
Invested
$209
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
+$173
+$173INV $209 · WR 59.2%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$82
+$82INV $90 · WR 55.9%
_
_test_i075_T1hedged
Entry 65¢·125.1 shares·also $40 on NO
Invested
$82
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $82 · WR 59.6%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·125 shares·also $65 on NO
Invested
$63
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$57
+$57INV $63 · WR 57.0%
L
lidaoren
Entry 54¢·114.1 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$47
+$47INV $62 · WR 62.5%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 55¢·110.8 shares·also $60 on NO
Invested
$61
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $61 · WR 60.5%
_
_test_i086_e2_1790676143_0hedged
Entry 57¢·88 shares·also $58 on NO
Invested
$50
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $50 · WR 61.1%
Showing top 10 of 61
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.4K
Avg Win Rate
71.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.1K(-90.8%)
Whales
32
W
Wuwux🥇
Entry 53¢·2,472.2 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
90.6%
Position P&L
$-1202
$-1202INV $1.3K · WR 90.6%
A
arcsine-barrister🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·1,668.6 shares·also $1.0K on YES
Invested
$834
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-759
$-759INV $834 · WR 58.5%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·732.3 shares·also $366 on YES
Invested
$366
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-333
$-333INV $366 · WR 56.4%
S
Stimulating-Powerhedged
Entry 52¢·349.3 shares·also $12 on YES
Invested
$182
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
$-167
$-167INV $182 · WR 62.2%
1
13897651hedged
Entry 54¢·233.4 shares·also $261 on YES
Invested
$126
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-115
$-115INV $126 · WR 57.0%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-82
$-82INV $90 · WR 55.9%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·130 shares·also $63 on YES
Invested
$65
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $65 · WR 57.0%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $61 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
$-55
$-55INV $60 · WR 60.5%
_
_test_i086_e2_1790676143_0hedged
Entry 31¢·189.2 shares·also $50 on YES
Invested
$58
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $58 · WR 61.1%
_
_test_i075_T1hedged
Entry 27¢·145 shares·also $82 on YES
Invested
$40
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-33
$-33INV $40 · WR 59.6%
Showing top 10 of 32
Smart Whale Trades
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