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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$23.6K
3,138 trades
Smart Whales
107
of 751 traders · 23 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

45 YESvs85 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 24% YES by dollars · 16 YES vs 66 NO taking a side · 5 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 90%· net of hedges
+376 new YES$5.8K+521 new NO$29.5K
$5.6K of this was bought on both sides by the same 173 buyers — left out of momentum
32 smart whales75 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 42% of the money is not a bet
$347 of $8.3K is held equally on both sides by 4 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $3.1K is hedged across different prices by 19 wallets. True directional: YES $1.1K·NO $3.6K
YES Team
Total Invested
$4.0K
Avg Win Rate
59.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.3K(-83.1%)
Whales
45
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,794.5 shares·also $995 on NO
$-888INV $897 · WR 58.5%
M
manlikeactive🥈hedged
Entry 103¢·848.9 shares·also $41 on NO
$-447INV $875 · WR 67.2%
M
mommydualipa🥉
Entry 50¢·1,700 shares
$-842INV $850 · WR 56.1%
E
0xe1e556d1...hedged
Entry 50¢·730 shares·also $359 on NO
$-361INV $365 · WR 56.4%
1
13897651hedged
Entry 49¢·346.3 shares·also $106 on NO
$-166INV $168 · WR 57.0%
D
Doveq
Entry 53¢·196.1 shares
$-102INV $103 · WR 58.2%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.9%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
$-59INV $60 · WR 60.5%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·110 shares·also $53 on NO
$-54INV $55 · WR 57.0%
_
_test_i086_e2_1790676143_0hedged
Entry 40¢·101.9 shares·also $111 on NO
$-40INV $41 · WR 61.1%
Showing top 10 of 45

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 35% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14…