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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$42.8K
4,855 trades
Smart Whales
148
of 977 traders · 32 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

79 YESvs101 NO
44%56%
56% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 14% YES by dollars · 45 YES vs 71 NO taking a side · 8 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 70%· net of hedges
+571 new YES$22.2K+668 new NO$34.7K
$25.8K of this was bought on both sides by the same 288 buyers — left out of momentum
66 smart whales90 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 40% of the money is not a bet
$426 of $10.1K is held equally on both sides by 8 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $3.6K is hedged across different prices by 24 wallets. True directional: YES $869·NO $5.2K
YES Team
Total Invested
$3.4K
Avg Win Rate
61.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.1K(-89.9%)
Whales
79
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,922 shares·also $820 on NO
$-951INV $961 · WR 58.5%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·710.2 shares·also $373 on NO
$-352INV $355 · WR 56.4%
L
lidaoren🥉hedged
Entry 98¢·319.3 shares·also $37 on NO
$-150INV $312 · WR 62.5%
_
_test_i086_e2_1790676143_0hedged
Entry 57¢·451.7 shares·also $306 on NO
$-257INV $260 · WR 61.1%
1
13897651hedged
Entry 64¢·306.7 shares·also $33 on NO
$-194INV $196 · WR 57.0%
B
Bingueulihedged
Entry 111¢·120.3 shares·also $38 on NO
$-73INV $134 · WR 83.8%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.9%
D
Dumbfoll
Entry 84¢·100 shares
$-83INV $84 · WR 63.1%
H
hehexd69hedged
Entry 56¢·140 shares·also $159 on NO
$-78INV $78 · WR 59.2%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·130.7 shares·also $60 on NO
$-64INV $65 · WR 60.5%
Showing top 10 of 79

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 44% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14…