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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$37.5K
4,094 trades
Smart Whales
135
of 903 traders · 26 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

54 YESvs107 NO
34%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 16% YES by dollars · 27 YES vs 79 NO taking a side · 10 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 82%· net of hedges
+447 new YES$14.1K+672 new NO$37.0K
$15.5K of this was bought on both sides by the same 245 buyers — left out of momentum
39 smart whales99 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 52% of the money is not a bet
$497 of $6.5K is held equally on both sides by 6 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $2.9K is hedged across different prices by 20 wallets. True directional: YES $478·NO $2.6K
YES Team
Total Invested
$2.4K
Avg Win Rate
59.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.2K(-93.0%)
Whales
54
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,891.6 shares·also $857 on NO
$-936INV $946 · WR 58.5%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·720 shares·also $345 on NO
$-356INV $360 · WR 56.4%
1
13897651🥉
Entry 58¢·281.6 shares
$-161INV $162 · WR 57.0%
L
lidaorenhedged
Entry 109¢·112.3 shares·also $12 on NO
$-66INV $122 · WR 62.5%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.9%
_
_test_i086_e2_1790676143_0hedged
Entry 26¢·303.7 shares·also $187 on NO
$-76INV $78 · WR 61.1%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
$-59INV $60 · WR 60.5%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·115 shares·also $55 on NO
$-57INV $58 · WR 57.0%
L
long-time
Entry 49¢·100 shares
$-48INV $49 · WR 68.1%
T
tarnoblistboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 67.0%
Showing top 10 of 54

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 34% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14…