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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$30.3K
2,283 trades
Smart Whales
91
of 627 traders · 18 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

33 YESvs76 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 4% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 62 NO taking a side · 7 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 94%· net of hedges
+312 new YES$4.0K+419 new NO$32.8K
$4.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 132 buyers — left out of momentum
21 smart whales64 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 28% of the money is not a bet
$312 of $12.0K is held equally on both sides by 6 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $3.0K is hedged across different prices by 12 wallets. True directional: YES $374·NO $8.3K
YES Team
Total Invested
$3.9K
Avg Win Rate
67.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.9K(-75.6%)
Whales
33
P
Pitiful-Laugh🥇
Entry 100¢·1,500 shares
$-741INV $1.5K · WR 75.0%
A
arcsine-barrister🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·1,685 shares·also $997 on NO
$-842INV $843 · WR 58.5%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·750 shares·also $370 on NO
$-375INV $375 · WR 56.4%
L
lsz111
Entry 18¢·1,707.3 shares
$-307INV $307 · WR 86.7%
L
lidaorenhedged
Entry 113¢·228.6 shares·also $37 on NO
$-144INV $259 · WR 62.5%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-90INV $90 · WR 55.9%
1
13897651hedged
Entry 50¢·143.3 shares·also $136 on NO
$-71INV $71 · WR 57.0%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·125 shares·also $65 on NO
$-62INV $63 · WR 57.0%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·110 shares·also $60 on NO
$-55INV $55 · WR 60.5%
_
_test_i086_e2_1790676143_0hedged
Entry 24¢·176 shares·also $150 on NO
$-42INV $42 · WR 61.1%
Showing top 10 of 33

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 30% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14…