Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$28.8K
3,511 trades
Smart Whales
119
of 822 traders · 32 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
60 YESvs91 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 12% YES by dollars · 19 YES vs 72 NO taking a side · 9 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%· net of hedges
+463 new YES$8.9K+548 new NO$29.3K
$11.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 219 buyers — left out of momentum
46 smart whales75 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 53% of the money is not a bet
$2.1K of $6.5K is held equally on both sides by 6 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.3K is hedged across different prices by 26 wallets. True directional: YES $355·NO $2.7KYES Team
Total Invested
$2.6K
Avg Win Rate
61.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.3K(-86.8%)
Whales
60
A
arcsine-barrister🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·1,864.2 shares·also $931 on NO
Invested
$932
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-931
$-931INV $932 · WR 58.5%
M
mia1111🥈
Entry 101¢·400 shares
Invested
$403
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
$-201
$-201INV $403 · WR 67.3%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·725 shares·also $370 on NO
Invested
$363
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-362
$-362INV $363 · WR 56.4%
L
lidaoren
Entry 44¢·469.8 shares
Invested
$208
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
$-208
$-208INV $208 · WR 62.5%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-90
$-90INV $90 · WR 55.9%
A
abrownfox001hedged
Entry 49¢·150 shares·also $87 on NO
Invested
$74
Win Rate
71.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $74 · WR 71.5%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·115.3 shares·also $60 on NO
Invested
$58
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-58
$-58INV $58 · WR 57.0%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·110 shares·also $60 on NO
Invested
$55
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
$-55
$-55INV $55 · WR 60.5%
L
long-time
Entry 49¢·100 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
$-49
$-49INV $49 · WR 68.1%
S
ssmkwlwehedged
Entry 20¢·150 shares·also $123 on NO
Invested
$30
Win Rate
78.7%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $30 · WR 78.7%
Showing top 10 of 60
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.6K
Avg Win Rate
72.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.0K(+43.5%)
Whales
91
H
hoodquant🥇
Entry 99¢·1,019 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $1.0K · WR 84.9%
A
arcsine-barrister🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·1,862 shares·also $932 on YES
Invested
$931
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$930
+$930INV $931 · WR 58.5%
M
mamaguevo🥉
Entry 93¢·449 shares
Invested
$415
Win Rate
92.0%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $415 · WR 92.0%
E
0xe1e556d1...hedged
Entry 50¢·740.8 shares·also $363 on YES
Invested
$370
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$370
+$370INV $370 · WR 56.4%
M
moneymaker748
Entry 98¢·250 shares
Invested
$245
Win Rate
91.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $245 · WR 91.1%
S
ssmkwlwehedged
Entry 82¢·150 shares·also $30 on YES
Invested
$123
Win Rate
78.7%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $123 · WR 78.7%
N
not-epsteinhedged
Entry 97¢·120 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$117
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $117 · WR 60.0%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$90
+$90INV $90 · WR 55.9%
K
Kaiji-ThePredictionMarketAnalysthedged
Entry 91¢·97.5 shares·also $7 on YES
Invested
$89
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $89 · WR 89.2%
A
abrownfox001hedged
Entry 61¢·141.2 shares·also $74 on YES
Invested
$87
Win Rate
71.5%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $87 · WR 71.5%
Showing top 10 of 91
Smart Whale Trades
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