Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$19.7K
2,679 trades
Smart Whales
115
of 680 traders · 25 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
46 YESvs94 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 10% YES by dollars · 14 YES vs 76 NO taking a side · 7 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 84%· net of hedges
+358 new YES$6.7K+441 new NO$19.6K
$7.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 147 buyers — left out of momentum
33 smart whales80 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 57% of the money is not a bet
$497 of $6.3K is held equally on both sides by 6 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $3.0K is hedged across different prices by 19 wallets. True directional: YES $260·NO $2.5KYES Team
Total Invested
$2.6K
Avg Win Rate
59.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.1K(-82.2%)
Whales
46
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,850 shares·also $998 on NO
Invested
$925
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-916
$-916INV $925 · WR 58.7%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·730 shares·also $371 on NO
Invested
$365
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-361
$-361INV $365 · WR 56.4%
J
Jellxb🥉
Entry 63¢·370 shares
Invested
$233
Win Rate
64.7%
Position P&L
$-46
$-46INV $233 · WR 64.7%
G
gggg1ed
Entry 38¢·521.6 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-197
$-197INV $200 · WR 61.3%
G
gogogoog-vvhedged
Entry 146¢·96.1 shares·also $46 on NO
Invested
$140
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-92
$-92INV $140 · WR 55.8%
B
B-5-T
Entry 50¢·232 shares
Invested
$116
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $116 · WR 61.8%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.9%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 48¢·131.2 shares·also $60 on NO
Invested
$63
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-62
$-62INV $63 · WR 60.4%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $63 on NO
Invested
$60
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $60 · WR 55.9%
T
threnaboleboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
Invested
$60
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $60 · WR 57.8%
Showing top 10 of 46
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.4K
Avg Win Rate
67.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.2K(+49.4%)
Whales
94
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,995 shares·also $925 on YES
Invested
$998
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
+$988
+$988INV $998 · WR 58.7%
M
mamaguevo🥈
Entry 96¢·504.7 shares
Invested
$486
Win Rate
77.4%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $486 · WR 77.4%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·741.8 shares·also $365 on YES
Invested
$371
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$367
+$367INV $371 · WR 56.4%
A
abadireem
Entry 99¢·353.5 shares
Invested
$350
Win Rate
80.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $350 · WR 80.6%
M
moneymaker748
Entry 98¢·250 shares
Invested
$245
Win Rate
91.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $245 · WR 91.0%
7
796F726B69hedged
Entry 98¢·142 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$139
Win Rate
69.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $139 · WR 69.9%
_
_test_i086_e2_1790676143_0hedged
Entry 70¢·189 shares·also $17 on YES
Invested
$132
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
+$56
+$56INV $132 · WR 61.3%
N
not-epsteinhedged
Entry 97¢·120 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$117
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $117 · WR 59.6%
M
mia1111
Entry 99¢·100 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
67.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $99 · WR 67.7%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$89
+$89INV $90 · WR 55.9%
Showing top 10 of 94
Smart Whale Trades
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