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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$32.7K
4,137 trades
Smart Whales
146
of 843 traders · 32 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

93 YESvs85 NO
52%48%
52% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 78% YES by dollars · 53 YES vs 59 NO taking a side · 12 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 62%· net of hedges
+541 new YES$24.5K+551 new NO$18.9K
$19.9K of this was bought on both sides by the same 273 buyers — left out of momentum
76 smart whales73 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 43% of the money is not a bet
$577 of $5.9K is held equally on both sides by 8 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $2.0K is hedged across different prices by 24 wallets. True directional: YES $2.6K·NO $761
YES Team
Total Invested
$4.2K
Avg Win Rate
67.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.7K(+39.5%)
Whales
93
A
algodream🥇
Entry 99¢·939.9 shares
+$9INV $930 · WR 63.3%
A
arcsine-barrister🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·1,000 shares·also $493 on NO
+$500INV $500 · WR 58.7%
M
mia1111🥉
Entry 99¢·500 shares
+$5INV $495 · WR 67.7%
M
Mars9
Entry 99¢·303 shares
+$3INV $300 · WR 88.2%
T
thejackaloftrades
Entry 98¢·122.5 shares
+$2INV $120 · WR 90.8%
1
13897651hedged
Entry 57¢·202.6 shares·also $109 on NO
+$87INV $115 · WR 57.3%
S
Stimulating-Power
Entry 52¢·213.7 shares
+$103INV $111 · WR 62.4%
S
sharkysharkyshark
Entry 99¢·100 shares
+$1INV $99 · WR 79.2%
L
Lumpy-Community
Entry 99¢·100 shares
$-49INV $99 · WR 93.6%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
+$90INV $90 · WR 55.9%
Showing top 10 of 93

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 52% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12…