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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$29.9K
2,910 trades
Smart Whales
124
of 731 traders · 34 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

65 YESvs93 NO
41%59%
59% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 8% YES by dollars · 32 YES vs 67 NO taking a side · 7 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 87%· net of hedges
+439 new YES$9.4K+488 new NO$29.0K
$12.0K of this was bought on both sides by the same 217 buyers — left out of momentum
54 smart whales84 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 35% of the money is not a bet
$497 of $8.7K is held equally on both sides by 6 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $2.5K is hedged across different prices by 28 wallets. True directional: YES $440·NO $5.3K
YES Team
Total Invested
$3.3K
Avg Win Rate
60.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.1K(-63.2%)
Whales
65
C
cbet🥇
Entry 50¢·2,000 shares
+$10INV $1.0K · WR 58.4%
A
arcsine-barrister🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·1,861.9 shares·also $823 on NO
$-930INV $931 · WR 58.7%
K
Kotov.exl🥉hedged
Entry 100¢·324.7 shares·also $59 on NO
$-162INV $326 · WR 61.9%
A
ApexUpDown
Entry 70¢·216.6 shares
$-153INV $153 · WR 65.4%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-90INV $90 · WR 55.9%
P
peepeepoopoo24hedged
Entry 50¢·145.5 shares·also $78 on NO
$-72INV $72 · WR 59.1%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·122 shares·also $66 on NO
$-61INV $61 · WR 55.9%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
$-60INV $60 · WR 60.4%
1
13897651hedged
Entry 54¢·107.6 shares·also $115 on NO
$-58INV $59 · WR 57.3%
A
alwayswannawant
Entry 48¢·103.8 shares
$-50INV $50 · WR 84.1%
Showing top 10 of 65

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 41% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12…