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Resolved

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$1.7K
4,043 trades
Smart Whales
176
of 895 traders · 22 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

56 YESvs142 NO
28%72%
72% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 26% YES by dollars · 21 YES vs 77 NO taking a side · 11 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 89%· net of hedges
+439 new YES$10.1K+634 new NO$36.0K
$12.8K of this was bought on both sides by the same 203 buyers — left out of momentum
49 smart whales130 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 55% of the money is not a bet
$704 of $3.6K is held equally on both sides by 11 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.3K is hedged across different prices by 11 wallets. True directional: YES $427·NO $1.2K
YES Team
Total Invested
$2.2K
Avg Win Rate
59.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.6K(-71.0%)
Whales
56
Y
yurlppy🥇
Entry 44¢·1,513 shares
$-661INV $661 · WR 59.3%
A
arcsine-barrister🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·913.4 shares·also $486 on NO
$-306INV $457 · WR 58.7%
1
13897651🥉hedged
Entry 62¢·486.9 shares·also $89 on NO
$-221INV $302 · WR 57.3%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-60INV $90 · WR 55.9%
O
Oily-Clearing
Entry 34¢·182.2 shares
$-32INV $63 · WR 57.1%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
$-40INV $60 · WR 60.4%
T
threnaboleboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
$-40INV $60 · WR 57.8%
C
cacd233232
Entry 42¢·93.4 shares
$-24INV $39 · WR 63.7%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-25INV $38 · WR 56.6%
T
tarnoblistboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-25INV $38 · WR 67.1%
Showing top 10 of 56

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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