Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$192
33 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 29 traders · 5 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs15 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 14 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 67%· net of hedges
+64 new YES$1.7K+131 new NO$3.2K
$611 of this was bought on both sides by the same 27 buyers — left out of momentum
6 smart whales14 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 41% of the money is not a bet
$340 of $1.1K is held equally on both sides by 1 wallet — not a bet on the outcome. $105 is hedged across different prices by 4 wallets. True directional: YES $4·NO $637YES Team
Total Invested
$226
Avg Win Rate
62.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$143(-63.2%)
Whales
7
7
0x7e531479...🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·340 shares·also $170 on NO
Invested
$170
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
$-117
$-117INV $170 · WR 57.5%
L
lalala67🥈hedged
Entry 24¢·132.7 shares·also $419 on NO
Invested
$32
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $32 · WR 87.3%
P
ply-pm1🥉hedged
Entry 45¢·30 shares·also $58 on NO
Invested
$14
Win Rate
63.7%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $14 · WR 63.7%
4
0x4681b48c...hedged
Entry 29¢·22.7 shares·also $17 on NO
Invested
$7
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $7 · WR 60.0%
B
0xb5e78597...
Entry 54¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 61.2%
I
iyvtyfou1hedged
Entry 50¢·2 shares·also $20 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 56.6%
F
fevercat
Entry 17¢·5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 60.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$859
Avg Win Rate
72.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$319(+37.1%)
Whales
15
L
lalala67🥇hedged
Entry 63¢·660 shares·also $32 on YES
Invested
$419
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
+$139
+$139INV $419 · WR 87.3%
7
0x7e531479...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·340 shares·also $170 on YES
Invested
$170
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
+$117
+$117INV $170 · WR 57.5%
S
SmilingCobra🥉
Entry 74¢·133.8 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $99 · WR 56.9%
P
ply-pm1hedged
Entry 67¢·87 shares·also $14 on YES
Invested
$58
Win Rate
63.7%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $58 · WR 63.7%
R
riverunit85
Entry 67¢·30 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $20 · WR 55.8%
I
iyvtyfou1hedged
Entry 63¢·31.5 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$20
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $20 · WR 56.6%
4
0x4681b48c...hedged
Entry 66¢·25.6 shares·also $7 on YES
Invested
$17
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $17 · WR 60.0%
I
Impeccable-Sake
Entry 64¢·17.4 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $11 · WR 62.2%
B
0xb08b4832...
Entry 64¢·15.8 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $10 · WR 58.0%
B
B15mMarketMaking
Entry 65¢·15 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $10 · WR 61.4%
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