Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
YES Price
50¢
50% implied
NO Price
50¢
50% implied
Volume
$2
205 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 143 traders · 4 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs8 NO
53%47%
53% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 58% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 53%· net of hedges
+99 new YES$2.3K+97 new NO$2.5K
$1.5K of this was bought on both sides by the same 42 buyers — left out of momentum
8 smart whales7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 67% of the money is not a bet
$456 of $678 is hedged across different prices by 4 wallets. True directional: YES $130·NO $93YES Team
Total Invested
$358
Avg Win Rate
59.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$69(+19.3%)
Whales
9
7
0x7e531479...🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·330 shares·also $161 on NO
Invested
$165
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $165 · WR 57.5%
R
ruanluh🥈
Entry 40¢·259.2 shares
Invested
$104
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $104 · WR 58.0%
P
ply-pm1🥉hedged
Entry 46¢·127.4 shares·also $63 on NO
Invested
$58
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $58 · WR 63.4%
B
0xb5e78597...hedged
Entry 52¢·19 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$10
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 61.1%
B
B15mMarketMakinghedged
Entry 52¢·15 shares·also $10 on NO
Invested
$8
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 · WR 61.4%
G
Gargantuan-Obligation-Dancing
Entry 40¢·15 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
94.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $6 · WR 94.6%
T
Tricky-Overload
Entry 38¢·10 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $4 · WR 55.3%
O
ohioism
Entry 40¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 59.9%
L
lalala67
Entry 41¢·2.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 87.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$320
Avg Win Rate
58.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$41(-12.8%)
Whales
8
7
0x7e531479...🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·321 shares·also $165 on YES
Invested
$161
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $161 · WR 57.5%
P
ply-pm1🥈hedged
Entry 56¢·112.2 shares·also $58 on YES
Invested
$63
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $63 · WR 63.4%
K
kakashi15🥉
Entry 52¢·79.1 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $41 · WR 57.7%
V
vlabs
Entry 52¢·70.4 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $37 · WR 57.0%
B
B15mMarketMakinghedged
Entry 69¢·15 shares·also $8 on YES
Invested
$10
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $10 · WR 61.4%
4
0x4681b48c...
Entry 50¢·9 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 60.2%
H
Humongous-Darn-Cygnet
Entry 56¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 55.5%
B
0xb5e78597...hedged
Entry 54¢·2.7 shares·also $10 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 61.1%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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