Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
YES Price
76¢
76% implied
NO Price
24¢
24% implied
Volume
$425
1,760 trades
Smart Whales
59
of 425 traders · 10 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
49 YESvs20 NO
71%29%
71% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 97% YES by dollars · 44 YES vs 10 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 82%· net of hedges
+312 new YES$44.4K+241 new NO$15.6K
$14.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 131 buyers — left out of momentum
51 smart whales23 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 25% of the money is not a bet
$1.1K of $4.6K is hedged across different prices by 10 wallets. True directional: YES $3.3K·NO $103YES Team
Total Invested
$4.6K
Avg Win Rate
78.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$688(+15.1%)
Whales
49
L
lalala67🥇hedged
Entry 77¢·2,039.6 shares·also $368 on NO
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$388
+$388INV $1.6K · WR 87.5%
R
Ruddy-Atheist🥈
Entry 81¢·802.2 shares
Invested
$648
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$126
+$126INV $648 · WR 59.8%
D
DannyQ🥉
Entry 89¢·568.2 shares
Invested
$504
Win Rate
82.6%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $504 · WR 82.6%
P
Periodic-Marketplace
Entry 99¢·483.1 shares
Invested
$478
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-114
$-114INV $478 · WR 88.9%
H
hoodquant
Entry 96¢·170.9 shares
Invested
$164
Win Rate
90.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $164 · WR 90.4%
7
0x7e531479...hedged
Entry 50¢·244.8 shares·also $121 on NO
Invested
$122
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
+$114
+$114INV $122 · WR 57.5%
P
ply-pm1hedged
Entry 74¢·146.6 shares·also $21 on NO
Invested
$109
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $109 · WR 63.4%
H
hanbaoji888
Entry 98¢·80 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
91.1%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $78 · WR 91.1%
B
B15mMarketMakinghedged
Entry 73¢·106.4 shares·also $20 on NO
Invested
$78
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $78 · WR 61.4%
T
thisissomuchfun
Entry 77¢·101 shares
Invested
$77
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $77 · WR 55.7%
Showing top 10 of 49
NO Team
Total Invested
$673
Avg Win Rate
75.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$566(-84.1%)
Whales
20
L
lalala67🥇hedged
Entry 18¢·2,039.6 shares·also $1.6K on YES
Invested
$368
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-297
$-297INV $368 · WR 87.5%
7
0x7e531479...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·242.1 shares·also $122 on YES
Invested
$121
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
$-113
$-113INV $121 · WR 57.5%
D
daoansi🥉
Entry 35¢·118.2 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $42 · WR 63.0%
P
ply-pm1hedged
Entry 19¢·114.6 shares·also $109 on YES
Invested
$21
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $21 · WR 63.4%
O
ohioism
Entry 24¢·85 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $21 · WR 59.9%
B
B15mMarketMakinghedged
Entry 21¢·92.9 shares·also $78 on YES
Invested
$20
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $20 · WR 61.4%
V
vlabs
Entry 53¢·29.4 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $16 · WR 57.0%
T
Tender-Idea
Entry 20¢·67.3 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
78.3%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $13 · WR 78.3%
4
0x4681b48c...hedged
Entry 15¢·75.9 shares·also $61 on YES
Invested
$11
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $11 · WR 60.2%
F
fasfwqww222hedged
Entry 21¢·50 shares·also $37 on YES
Invested
$11
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $11 · WR 57.4%
Showing top 10 of 20
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