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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$17.2K
952 trades
Smart Whales
48
of 341 traders · 15 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

19 YESvs44 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 39 NO taking a side · 3 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 95%· net of hedges
+183 new YES$4.1K+245 new NO$30.4K
$5.2K of this was bought on both sides by the same 93 buyers — left out of momentum
16 smart whales45 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 47% of the money is not a bet
$559 of $2.4K is held equally on both sides by 3 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $574 is hedged across different prices by 12 wallets. True directional: YES $11·NO $1.2K
YES Team
Total Invested
$578
Avg Win Rate
66.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$571(-98.9%)
Whales
19
7
0x7e531479...🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·305 shares·also $151 on NO
$-151INV $153 · WR 57.3%
L
lalala67🥈hedged
Entry 36¢·355.7 shares·also $334 on NO
$-126INV $127 · WR 87.9%
P
polpotatoes🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.6%
A
atruahedged
Entry 50¢·135 shares·also $70 on NO
$-67INV $68 · WR 77.9%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 56.9%
4
0x4681b48c...hedged
Entry 43¢·47.2 shares·also $30 on NO
$-20INV $20 · WR 60.1%
X
x01000000hedged
Entry 19¢·79 shares·also $76 on NO
$-14INV $15 · WR 56.2%
P
ply-pm1hedged
Entry 21¢·65.7 shares·also $62 on NO
$-14INV $14 · WR 63.7%
T
Tricky-Overloadhedged
Entry 67¢·20 shares·also $45 on NO
$-13INV $13 · WR 55.3%
B
B15mMarketMakinghedged
Entry 49¢·26.8 shares·also $31 on NO
$-13INV $13 · WR 61.8%
Showing top 10 of 19

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 30% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2…