Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$10
11 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 12 traders · 4 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs9 NO
44%56%
56% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 90% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 2 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 77%· net of hedges
+82 new YES$1.8K+68 new NO$714
$498 of this was bought on both sides by the same 25 buyers — left out of momentum
13 smart whales8 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 81% of the money is not a bet
$350 of $755 is held equally on both sides by 1 wallet — not a bet on the outcome. $260 is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $130·NO $15YES Team
Total Invested
$435
Avg Win Rate
58.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$176(+40.4%)
Whales
7
7
0x7e531479...🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·350 shares·also $175 on NO
Invested
$175
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
+$93
+$93INV $175 · WR 57.2%
P
polpotatoes🥈hedged
Entry 51¢·220.8 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$113
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
+$56
+$56INV $113 · WR 55.7%
H
highpolis🥉hedged
Entry 58¢·125.1 shares·also $38 on NO
Invested
$73
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $73 · WR 56.9%
O
ohioism
Entry 73¢·44.5 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $33 · WR 60.2%
T
Tender-Ideahedged
Entry 72¢·40.2 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$29
Win Rate
81.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $29 · WR 81.7%
A
Anon-0xCE
Entry 78¢·10.1 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $8 · WR 56.5%
B
0xb08b4832...
Entry 63¢·7.9 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 61.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$320
Avg Win Rate
57.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$160(-49.9%)
Whales
9
7
0x7e531479...🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·350 shares·also $175 on YES
Invested
$175
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
$-96
$-96INV $175 · WR 57.2%
P
polpotatoes🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $113 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $90 · WR 55.7%
H
highpolis🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $73 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $38 · WR 56.9%
P
ply-pm1
Entry 34¢·37.1 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $13 · WR 61.9%
T
Tender-Ideahedged
Entry 52¢·5.2 shares·also $29 on YES
Invested
$3
Win Rate
81.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 81.7%
A
akina78
Entry 34¢·6.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 65.6%
C
clearbasis22
Entry 0¢·25 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $0 · WR 56.4%
4
0x4681b48c...
Entry 0¢·9 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $0 · WR 59.5%
R
riverunit85
Entry 0¢·25 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $0 · WR 56.5%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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