Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$10.9K
1,261 trades
Smart Whales
56
of 335 traders · 17 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
45 YESvs28 NO
62%38%
62% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 79% YES by dollars · 32 YES vs 16 NO taking a side · 2 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 57%· net of hedges
+287 new YES$15.6K+236 new NO$13.8K
$15.8K of this was bought on both sides by the same 138 buyers — left out of momentum
50 smart whales31 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 56% of the money is not a bet
$75 of $3.1K is held equally on both sides by 1 wallet — not a bet on the outcome. $1.6K is hedged across different prices by 16 wallets. True directional: YES $1.1K·NO $290YES Team
Total Invested
$1.9K
Avg Win Rate
66.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.6K(+82.3%)
Whales
45
P
ply-pm1🥇hedged
Entry 51¢·556.5 shares·also $280 on NO
Invested
$284
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
+$242
+$242INV $284 · WR 62.8%
A
asabovesobelow2🥈hedged
Entry 61¢·396.9 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$243
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$132
+$132INV $243 · WR 69.4%
7
7ohnson🥉
Entry 58¢·238.5 shares
Invested
$138
Win Rate
90.4%
Position P&L
+$87
+$87INV $138 · WR 90.4%
B
buttonmasher
Entry 50¢·262.8 shares
Invested
$132
Win Rate
76.7%
Position P&L
+$117
+$117INV $132 · WR 76.7%
7
0x7e531479...hedged
Entry 50¢·243.6 shares·also $111 on NO
Invested
$122
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
+$108
+$108INV $122 · WR 57.2%
B
0xb5e78597...hedged
Entry 52¢·205.8 shares·also $61 on NO
Invested
$108
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$87
+$87INV $108 · WR 61.7%
P
poliphonicly1hedged
Entry 50¢·145 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$73
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$65
+$65INV $73 · WR 55.0%
R
RAK2
Entry 55¢·131.7 shares
Invested
$72
Win Rate
68.7%
Position P&L
+$52
+$52INV $72 · WR 68.7%
P
polpotatoeshedged
Entry 49¢·140 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$68
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
+$64
+$64INV $68 · WR 55.7%
4
41c
Entry 38¢·165.5 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$94
+$94INV $62 · WR 89.2%
Showing top 10 of 45
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
62.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.0K(-88.5%)
Whales
28
P
ply-pm1🥇hedged
Entry 49¢·573.4 shares·also $284 on YES
Invested
$280
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
$-249
$-249INV $280 · WR 62.8%
7
0x7e531479...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·221.1 shares·also $122 on YES
Invested
$111
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
$-98
$-98INV $111 · WR 57.2%
P
polpotatoes🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $68 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
$-80
$-80INV $90 · WR 55.7%
P
poliphonicly1hedged
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $73 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-80
$-80INV $90 · WR 55.0%
F
fasfwqww222hedged
Entry 68¢·100 shares·also $52 on YES
Invested
$68
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
$-62
$-62INV $68 · WR 57.2%
B
0xb5e78597...hedged
Entry 61¢·98.9 shares·also $108 on YES
Invested
$61
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-55
$-55INV $61 · WR 61.7%
4
0x4681b48c...hedged
Entry 60¢·88 shares·also $52 on YES
Invested
$53
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
$-48
$-48INV $53 · WR 59.2%
B
B15mMarketMakinghedged
Entry 62¢·80.7 shares·also $40 on YES
Invested
$50
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
$-46
$-46INV $50 · WR 62.3%
6
0x685899ce...
Entry 74¢·64 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-44
$-44INV $48 · WR 69.8%
T
Tender-Idea
Entry 73¢·60.8 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
82.6%
Position P&L
$-41
$-41INV $45 · WR 82.6%
Showing top 10 of 28
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