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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$19.8K
851 trades
Smart Whales
50
of 370 traders · 13 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

24 YESvs39 NO
38%62%
62% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 7% YES by dollars · 11 YES vs 30 NO taking a side · 5 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 93%· net of hedges
+222 new YES$4.6K+234 new NO$35.0K
$4.1K of this was bought on both sides by the same 93 buyers — left out of momentum
20 smart whales35 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$675 of $5.9K is held equally on both sides by 4 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $353 is hedged across different prices by 9 wallets. True directional: YES $344·NO $4.5K
YES Team
Total Invested
$887
Avg Win Rate
61.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$814(-91.8%)
Whales
24
7
0x7e531479...🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·320 shares·also $160 on NO
$-160INV $160 · WR 57.2%
P
polpotatoes🥈hedged
Entry 44¢·206.1 shares·also $90 on NO
$-91INV $92 · WR 55.9%
P
poliphonicly1🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-90INV $90 · WR 55.0%
L
LordKaladin
Entry 41¢·215.4 shares
$-88INV $88 · WR 64.9%
V
vlabs
Entry 53¢·148.7 shares
$-78INV $78 · WR 57.4%
R
Rossonerihedged
Entry 32¢·165.1 shares·also $15 on NO
$-53INV $53 · WR 64.8%
3
0x33ff0d42...both sides
Entry 50¢·100 shares·also $50 on NO
$-50INV $50 · WR 90.0%
S
Saber-greed
Entry 19¢·222.3 shares
$-41INV $41 · WR 61.8%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 56.9%
H
hppat
Entry 53¢·58.8 shares
$-31INV $31 · WR 63.9%
Showing top 10 of 24

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 36% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21…