Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
YES Price
50¢
50% implied
NO Price
50¢
50% implied
Volume
$302
18 trades
Smart Whales
18
of 21 traders · 8 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
17 YESvs9 NO
65%35%
65% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 13 YES vs 2 NO taking a side · 3 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 67%· net of hedges
+153 new YES$10.4K+84 new NO$5.8K
$2.9K of this was bought on both sides by the same 57 buyers — left out of momentum
16 smart whales8 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 50% of the money is not a bet
$435 of $2.0K is held equally on both sides by 3 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $559 is hedged across different prices by 5 wallets. True directional: YES $983·NO $7YES Team
Total Invested
$1.5K
Avg Win Rate
65.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$88(-6.0%)
Whales
17
C
curie🥇
Entry 65¢·512.3 shares
Invested
$333
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-39
$-39INV $333 · WR 55.3%
L
lalala67🥈hedged
Entry 67¢·480 shares·also $81 on NO
Invested
$322
Win Rate
89.7%
Position P&L
$-46
$-46INV $322 · WR 89.7%
7
0x7e531479...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·321.1 shares·also $165 on NO
Invested
$161
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $161 · WR 57.2%
L
laddergem
Entry 65¢·152.5 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $100 · WR 59.6%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $90 · WR 55.9%
P
poliphonicly1both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $90 · WR 55.0%
P
pnyy
Entry 66¢·130 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $85 · WR 72.2%
F
fasfwqww222
Entry 67¢·100 shares
Invested
$67
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $67 · WR 57.1%
A
aaa221
Entry 68¢·60 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $41 · WR 62.1%
I
Impeccable-Sake
Entry 68¢·60 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $41 · WR 62.1%
Showing top 10 of 17
NO Team
Total Invested
$503
Avg Win Rate
62.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$40(-8.0%)
Whales
9
7
0x7e531479...🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·330 shares·also $161 on YES
Invested
$165
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $165 · WR 57.2%
P
polpotatoes🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $90 · WR 55.9%
P
poliphonicly1🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $90 · WR 55.0%
L
lalala67hedged
Entry 36¢·222.3 shares·also $322 on YES
Invested
$81
Win Rate
89.7%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $81 · WR 89.7%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $38 · WR 56.9%
4
0x4681b48c...hedged
Entry 38¢·46.9 shares·also $22 on YES
Invested
$18
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $18 · WR 58.5%
B
B15mMarketMakinghedged
Entry 36¢·45 shares·also $19 on YES
Invested
$16
Win Rate
62.4%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $16 · WR 62.4%
R
Rossonerihedged
Entry 55¢·7.3 shares·also $20 on YES
Invested
$4
Win Rate
64.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 64.8%
U
UFC55
Entry 53¢·3.9 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
68.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 68.0%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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