🐋OrcaLayer
Sign In

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$5.0K
373 trades
Smart Whales
38
of 203 traders · 11 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

22 YESvs27 NO
45%55%
55% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 29% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 19 NO taking a side · 5 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 69%· net of hedges
+167 new YES$4.7K+139 new NO$8.1K
$4.1K of this was bought on both sides by the same 69 buyers — left out of momentum
17 smart whales20 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 69% of the money is not a bet
$872 of $1.7K is held equally on both sides by 5 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $310 is hedged across different prices by 6 wallets. True directional: YES $155·NO $384
YES Team
Total Invested
$761
Avg Win Rate
65.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$438(-57.6%)
Whales
22
7
0x7e531479...🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·315 shares·also $159 on NO
$-106INV $158 · WR 57.2%
T
Terrible-Capability🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·200 shares·also $100 on NO
$-67INV $100 · WR 92.0%
P
poliphonicly1🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-60INV $90 · WR 55.0%
P
polpotatoeshedged
Entry 50¢·155 shares·also $90 on NO
$-52INV $78 · WR 55.9%
C
curie
Entry 22¢·294.7 shares
$-15INV $64 · WR 55.3%
3
0x33ff0d42...both sides
Entry 50¢·100 shares·also $50 on NO
$-34INV $50 · WR 90.0%
L
lalala67hedged
Entry 42¢·100 shares·also $43 on NO
$-25INV $42 · WR 89.7%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-25INV $38 · WR 56.9%
S
Saber-greed
Entry 22¢·124.1 shares
$-7INV $28 · WR 61.8%
X
x01000000hedged
Entry 43¢·60 shares·also $11 on NO
$-16INV $26 · WR 56.8%
Showing top 10 of 22

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 7ms (cached)
Smart money 39% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21…