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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
50¢
50% implied
NO Price
50¢
50% implied
Volume
$18.2K
1,734 trades
Smart Whales
48
of 495 traders · 11 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

24 YESvs35 NO
41%59%
59% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 22% YES by dollars · 15 YES vs 26 NO taking a side · 3 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 71%· net of hedges
+243 new YES$13.8K+384 new NO$23.1K
$14.9K of this was bought on both sides by the same 136 buyers — left out of momentum
28 smart whales38 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 40% of the money is not a bet
$75 of $2.5K is held equally on both sides by 1 wallet — not a bet on the outcome. $926 is hedged across different prices by 10 wallets. True directional: YES $332·NO $1.2K
YES Team
Total Invested
$940
Avg Win Rate
63.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$835(-88.8%)
Whales
24
7
0x7e531479...🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·251.1 shares·also $128 on NO
$-125INV $126 · WR 57.2%
P
polpotatoes🥈hedged
Entry 53¢·187.7 shares·also $90 on NO
$-98INV $99 · WR 55.9%
V
vlabs🥉
Entry 53¢·165.9 shares
$-87INV $88 · WR 57.4%
L
lalala67hedged
Entry 75¢·111.5 shares·also $37 on NO
$-84INV $84 · WR 89.7%
P
poliphonicly1hedged
Entry 54¢·155 shares·also $90 on NO
$-84INV $84 · WR 55.0%
R
riverunit85hedged
Entry 50¢·109.9 shares·also $54 on NO
+$0INV $55 · WR 57.6%
C
clearbasis22hedged
Entry 53¢·98.7 shares·also $51 on NO
$-3INV $53 · WR 57.8%
Y
yurlppy
Entry 48¢·100 shares
$-48INV $48 · WR 55.8%
F
fasfwqww222hedged
Entry 82¢·50 shares·also $32 on NO
$-41INV $41 · WR 57.1%
B
B15mMarketMakinghedged
Entry 63¢·61.4 shares·also $44 on NO
$-39INV $39 · WR 62.4%
Showing top 10 of 24

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 39% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21…