PoliticsResolved
Will Renan Santos win between 2% and 4% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$58.8K
1,442 trades
Smart Whales
68
of 246 traders · 1 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
22 YESvs47 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 73% YES by dollars · 13 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $1.1K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $802·NO $299YES Team
Total Invested
$3.6K
Avg Win Rate
69.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.7K(+74.1%)
Whales
22
6
65765757🥇
Entry 48¢·2,595.7 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
78.2%
Position P&L
+$1355
+$1355INV $1.2K · WR 78.2%
V
vinii🥈hedged
Entry 86¢·1,063.6 shares·also $738 on NO
Invested
$913
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$150
+$150INV $913 · WR 65.8%
J
JAMJAMJAM4🥉
Entry 48¢·711.2 shares
Invested
$342
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$369
+$369INV $342 · WR 55.0%
G
GroovyCr0c0dil3
Entry 41¢·710 shares
Invested
$290
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$417
+$417INV $290 · WR 57.9%
G
guardasoldepraiahedged
Entry 83¢·260 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$216
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
+$43
+$43INV $216 · WR 66.4%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
Entry 54¢·300 shares
Invested
$162
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
+$138
+$138INV $162 · WR 70.5%
P
Paul97-071
Entry 58¢·191 shares
Invested
$110
Win Rate
90.7%
Position P&L
+$80
+$80INV $110 · WR 90.7%
A
AnCap.Investor
Entry 72¢·100 shares
Invested
$72
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $72 · WR 69.3%
D
deepervalue
Entry 71¢·42.7 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $30 · WR 72.0%
L
lockismo
Entry 55¢·36.7 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $20 · WR 57.1%
Showing top 10 of 22
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.7K
Avg Win Rate
77.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$4.1K(-72.1%)
Whales
47
V
vinii🥇hedged
Entry 79¢·936.2 shares·also $913 on YES
Invested
$738
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-738
$-738INV $738 · WR 65.8%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 44¢·1,623.3 shares
Invested
$711
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-711
$-711INV $711 · WR 87.7%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 44¢·1,580.6 shares
Invested
$688
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-688
$-688INV $688 · WR 72.2%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 47¢·866.1 shares
Invested
$409
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-409
$-409INV $409 · WR 88.2%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 50¢·700.2 shares
Invested
$351
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-351
$-351INV $351 · WR 85.8%
L
lpgb
Entry 51¢·688.5 shares
Invested
$349
Win Rate
75.7%
Position P&L
$-349
$-349INV $349 · WR 75.7%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 50¢·486.8 shares
Invested
$242
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-242
$-242INV $242 · WR 79.2%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed
Entry 45¢·477.6 shares
Invested
$215
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-215
$-215INV $215 · WR 55.3%
E
e46m3
Entry 55¢·251.3 shares
Invested
$138
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-138
$-138INV $138 · WR 79.6%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 46¢·235.7 shares
Invested
$108
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
$-108
$-108INV $108 · WR 84.9%
Showing top 10 of 47
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