PoliticsResolved
Will Lula win between 38% and 41% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$11.6K
559 trades
Smart Whales
52
of 162 traders
Smart Money Consensus
13 YESvs39 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 34% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $269 is directional: YES $91·NO $178YES Team
Total Invested
$157
Avg Win Rate
66.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$91(-57.7%)
Whales
13
G
gma96🥇
Entry 19¢·268.9 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-51
$-51INV $52 · WR 66.7%
B
BiDiFakePolls◆Proven🥈
Entry 4¢·615.2 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $23 · WR 62.5%
A
Antony82🥉
Entry 18¢·45.9 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $8 · WR 61.7%
L
luciebot
Entry 22¢·29 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
82.9%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $7 · WR 82.9%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 6¢·19.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 68.2%
Showing top 5 of 13
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.0K
Avg Win Rate
83.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$4.7K(+93.0%)
Whales
39
B
BeginnersLuck2🥇
Entry 50¢·1,388.1 shares
Invested
$694
Win Rate
92.9%
Position P&L
+$694
+$694INV $694 · WR 92.9%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 50¢·1,217.1 shares
Invested
$613
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$604
+$604INV $613 · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥉
Entry 41¢·1,293.4 shares
Invested
$536
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$757
+$757INV $536 · WR 85.9%
R
Renan2030
Entry 51¢·956.7 shares
Invested
$488
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$468
+$468INV $488 · WR 77.3%
L
lpgb
Entry 50¢·568 shares
Invested
$284
Win Rate
75.7%
Position P&L
+$284
+$284INV $284 · WR 75.7%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 35¢·699 shares
Invested
$244
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$455
+$455INV $244 · WR 85.8%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·418.1 shares
Invested
$209
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$209
+$209INV $209 · WR 88.7%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 53¢·330 shares
Invested
$175
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$155
+$155INV $175 · WR 89.3%
P
Pricey-Million
Entry 53¢·328.9 shares
Invested
$173
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$156
+$156INV $173 · WR 59.8%
6
65765757
Entry 53¢·282.4 shares
Invested
$150
Win Rate
78.2%
Position P&L
+$132
+$132INV $150 · WR 78.2%
Showing top 10 of 39
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