PoliticsResolved
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 39% and 42% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$8.2K
307 trades
Smart Whales
30
of 100 traders
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs26 NO
13%87%
87% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 60% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $298 is directional: YES $177·NO $121YES Team
Total Invested
$182
Avg Win Rate
58.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$10(-5.5%)
Whales
4
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.1K
Avg Win Rate
79.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.6K(+51.1%)
Whales
26
R
Renan2030🥇
Entry 82¢·1,398.6 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
77.4%
Position P&L
+$252
+$252INV $1.1K · WR 77.4%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 57¢·731.2 shares
Invested
$420
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$311
+$311INV $420 · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥉
Entry 50¢·807.2 shares
Invested
$404
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$404
+$404INV $404 · WR 85.9%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 52¢·290 shares
Invested
$151
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$139
+$139INV $151 · WR 89.3%
V
vyemfql
Entry 72¢·160 shares
Invested
$115
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $115 · WR 69.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 57¢·200 shares
Invested
$115
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$85
+$85INV $115 · WR 86.0%
N
northdrawer
Entry 52¢·216 shares
Invested
$112
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$104
+$104INV $112 · WR 87.7%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 53¢·200 shares
Invested
$105
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$95
+$95INV $105 · WR 59.8%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·160 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$80
+$80INV $80 · WR 88.7%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 100¢·70 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $70 · WR 59.7%
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