PoliticsResolved
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 36% and 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$40.5K
908 trades
Smart Whales
62
of 190 traders
Smart Money Consensus
12 YESvs50 NO
19%81%
81% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 69% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $102 is directional: YES $70·NO $31YES Team
Total Invested
$2.1K
Avg Win Rate
55.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.4K(-69.2%)
Whales
12
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥇hedged
Entry 92¢·1,528 shares·also $168 on NO
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-1398
$-1398INV $1.4K · WR 55.3%
A
Antony82🥈
Entry 22¢·200.1 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $44 · WR 61.7%
V
vinii🥉
Entry 11¢·85 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $9 · WR 65.8%
A
aliiz
Entry 11¢·75 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $8 · WR 65.1%
G
GroovyCr0c0dil3
Entry 20¢·40 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $8 · WR 57.9%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 8¢·12.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 68.2%
Showing top 6 of 12
NO Team
Total Invested
$18.1K
Avg Win Rate
84.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$20.1K(+111.3%)
Whales
50
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 51¢·12,614.8 shares
Invested
$6.4K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$6212
+$6212INV $6.4K · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 41¢·6,763.8 shares
Invested
$2.8K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$3977
+$3977INV $2.8K · WR 85.9%
6
65765757🥉
Entry 50¢·2,845.6 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
78.2%
Position P&L
+$1419
+$1419INV $1.4K · WR 78.2%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 39¢·3,173 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$1927
+$1927INV $1.2K · WR 85.8%
E
e46m3
Entry 54¢·1,335.9 shares
Invested
$724
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$612
+$612INV $724 · WR 79.6%
J
JordanMooney◆Proven
Entry 50¢·802.6 shares
Invested
$401
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$401
+$401INV $401 · WR 85.7%
M
merod
Entry 50¢·740 shares
Invested
$370
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$370
+$370INV $370 · WR 84.1%
B
balthazar
Entry 13¢·2,782.7 shares
Invested
$357
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$2426
+$2426INV $357 · WR 72.2%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 50¢·712.5 shares
Invested
$356
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$356
+$356INV $356 · WR 88.2%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 56¢·606.4 shares
Invested
$340
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$266
+$266INV $340 · WR 89.0%
Showing top 10 of 50
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