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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7PM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
55¢
55% implied
NO Price
45¢
45% implied
Volume
$4.5K
446 trades
Smart Whales
22
of 152 traders · 8 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

12 YESvs18 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 21% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 9 NO taking a side · 5 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 70%· net of hedges
+121 new YES$4.5K+124 new NO$6.2K
$6.4K of this was bought on both sides by the same 74 buyers — left out of momentum
12 smart whales16 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 66% of the money is not a bet
$180 of $702 is held equally on both sides by 1 wallet — not a bet on the outcome. $281 is hedged across different prices by 7 wallets. True directional: YES $51·NO $190
YES Team
Total Invested
$285
Avg Win Rate
57.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$258(-90.3%)
Whales
12
P
polpotatoes🥇hedged
Entry 45¢·213.7 shares·also $90 on NO
$-89INV $96 · WR 55.9%
H
highpolis🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-84INV $90 · WR 56.9%
T
thisissomuchfun🥉hedged
Entry 64¢·78 shares·also $16 on NO
$-47INV $50 · WR 56.9%
P
ponymarketsuckshedged
Entry 36¢·35 shares·also $12 on NO
$-11INV $12 · WR 55.6%
S
superwariyo
Entry 54¢·18.9 shares
$-9INV $10 · WR 55.9%
P
Prestigious-Lighthedged
Entry 31¢·27.4 shares·also $9 on NO
$-8INV $9 · WR 60.6%
B
Basir880hedged
Entry 62¢·10.3 shares·also $15 on NO
$-6INV $6 · WR 68.0%
D
Decent-Guilthedged
Entry 32¢·12.5 shares·also $4 on NO
$-4INV $4 · WR 55.0%
O
onyx-shorehedged
Entry 38¢·10 shares·also $3 on NO
+$2INV $4 · WR 72.9%
K
keerthivenky1hedged
Entry 61¢·5 shares·also $4 on NO
$-3INV $3 · WR 68.6%
Showing top 10 of 12

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 40% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7PM ET