Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4AM ET
YES Price
12¢
12% implied
NO Price
88¢
88% implied
Volume
$3.8K
579 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 169 traders · 6 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
14 YESvs11 NO
56%44%
56% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 17% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 8 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 76%· net of hedges
+119 new YES$2.6K+97 new NO$5.8K
$2.1K of this was bought on both sides by the same 41 buyers — left out of momentum
16 smart whales11 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 40% of the money is not a bet
$402 of $1.0K is hedged across different prices by 6 wallets. True directional: YES $102·NO $508YES Team
Total Invested
$303
Avg Win Rate
59.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$242(-79.9%)
Whales
14
P
polpotatoes🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·195 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$98
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-81
$-81INV $98 · WR 55.8%
H
highpolis🥈hedged
Entry 47¢·195 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$92
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-76
$-76INV $92 · WR 56.7%
L
Lighthearted-Therapy🥉
Entry 45¢·90 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-33
$-33INV $41 · WR 58.5%
V
v29bot
Entry 43¢·45 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $19 · WR 87.3%
7
796F726B69hedged
Entry 33¢·43.4 shares·also $34 on NO
Invested
$14
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $14 · WR 69.6%
P
Prestigious-Light
Entry 31¢·39.8 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $12 · WR 61.9%
D
Decent-Guilt
Entry 32¢·20 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $6 · WR 55.5%
0
0x030493ec...
Entry 35¢·17.3 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $6 · WR 56.3%
O
onyx-shore
Entry 35¢·10 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
74.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $4 · WR 74.0%
P
ponymarketsuckshedged
Entry 16¢·20 shares·also $15 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 55.5%
Showing top 10 of 14
NO Team
Total Invested
$709
Avg Win Rate
65.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$168(+23.7%)
Whales
11
A
ArturSatoshi🥇
Entry 90¢·277.9 shares
Invested
$250
Win Rate
78.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $250 · WR 78.0%
S
Staid-Typeface🥈
Entry 91¢·215.8 shares
Invested
$197
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $197 · WR 57.3%
H
highpolis🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $92 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$75
+$75INV $90 · WR 56.7%
P
polpotatoeshedged
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $98 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
+$75
+$75INV $90 · WR 55.8%
7
796F726B69hedged
Entry 75¢·45.3 shares·also $14 on YES
Invested
$34
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $34 · WR 69.6%
P
ponymarketsuckshedged
Entry 73¢·20 shares·also $3 on YES
Invested
$15
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $15 · WR 55.5%
T
thisissomuchfunhedged
Entry 81¢·15 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$12
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $12 · WR 57.4%
D
Duck.exe
Entry 86¢·11.8 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
61.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $10 · WR 61.6%
M
Mellow-Leaver-Ambiguity
Entry 93¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 89.3%
L
lykrxyz
Entry 90¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
81.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 81.7%
Showing top 10 of 11
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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