Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 2PM ET
YES Price
53¢
53% implied
NO Price
47¢
47% implied
Volume
$15
228 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 95 traders · 6 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs12 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 10% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 9 NO taking a side · 3 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 58%· net of hedges
+61 new YES$3.1K+66 new NO$2.5K
$1.8K of this was bought on both sides by the same 17 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales14 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 76% of the money is not a bet
$180 of $636 is held equally on both sides by 1 wallet — not a bet on the outcome. $304 is hedged across different prices by 5 wallets. True directional: YES $15·NO $137YES Team
Total Invested
$259
Avg Win Rate
58.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$68(+26.1%)
Whales
8
P
polpotatoes🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $90 · WR 55.9%
H
highpolis🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·165 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$83
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $83 · WR 56.7%
H
hevenshine🥉hedged
Entry 61¢·48.9 shares·also $50 on NO
Invested
$30
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $30 · WR 56.7%
T
thisissomuchfunhedged
Entry 54¢·50 shares·also $26 on NO
Invested
$27
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $27 · WR 57.7%
V
v29bot
Entry 50¢·30 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $15 · WR 87.7%
S
squidfruitnethedged
Entry 64¢·12.2 shares·also $7 on NO
Invested
$8
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 · WR 61.0%
P
ponymarketsuckshedged
Entry 55¢·10 shares·also $9 on NO
Invested
$6
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $6 · WR 55.5%
G
gabrielisme
Entry 47¢·4.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 57.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$379
Avg Win Rate
58.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$111(-29.4%)
Whales
12
H
highpolis🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $83 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $90 · WR 56.7%
P
polpotatoes🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $90 · WR 55.9%
L
Lighthearted-Therapy🥉
Entry 49¢·120 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $59 · WR 58.6%
H
hevenshinehedged
Entry 50¢·100 shares·also $30 on YES
Invested
$50
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $50 · WR 56.7%
7
796F726B69
Entry 47¢·80 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $37 · WR 69.7%
T
thisissomuchfunhedged
Entry 51¢·51 shares·also $27 on YES
Invested
$26
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $26 · WR 57.7%
P
ponymarketsuckshedged
Entry 48¢·19.1 shares·also $6 on YES
Invested
$9
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $9 · WR 55.5%
S
squidfruitnethedged
Entry 37¢·20 shares·also $8 on YES
Invested
$7
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $7 · WR 61.0%
J
Jaredwang
Entry 40¢·10 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 55.8%
P
pokeket
Entry 47¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 65.6%
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