Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1AM ET
YES Price
30¢
30% implied
NO Price
70¢
70% implied
Volume
$78
285 trades
Smart Whales
18
of 140 traders · 4 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs12 NO
46%55%
55% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 14% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 10 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 63%· net of hedges
+88 new YES$2.5K+82 new NO$3.7K
$1.4K of this was bought on both sides by the same 25 buyers — left out of momentum
13 smart whales13 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 27% of the money is not a bet
$229 of $860 is hedged across different prices by 4 wallets. True directional: YES $85·NO $546YES Team
Total Invested
$201
Avg Win Rate
63.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$4(-1.9%)
Whales
10
7
796F726B69🥇hedged
Entry 36¢·268.7 shares·also $500 on NO
Invested
$97
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $97 · WR 69.7%
Y
Yaosiyuan83🥈
Entry 55¢·94 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $51 · WR 57.3%
R
RiveraTerra33🥉
Entry 55¢·37.7 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $21 · WR 55.2%
1
1897934297hedged
Entry 39¢·30 shares·also $13 on NO
Invested
$12
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $12 · WR 56.3%
P
Prestigious-Light
Entry 31¢·27.4 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $9 · WR 56.0%
S
squidfruitnethedged
Entry 36¢·10 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 55.6%
7
0x7b479b19...
Entry 55¢·5.2 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 55.5%
H
haijkdlhedged
Entry 38¢·5 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
76.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 76.1%
O
onyx-shorehedged
Entry 35¢·5 shares·also $8 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 70.0%
S
SPREAD-TESTENV
Entry 34¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 64.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$663
Avg Win Rate
67.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$105(-15.8%)
Whales
12
7
796F726B69🥇hedged
Entry 70¢·709.2 shares·also $97 on YES
Invested
$500
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
$-78
$-78INV $500 · WR 69.7%
L
Lighthearted-Therapy🥈
Entry 72¢·85.9 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $62 · WR 58.0%
P
ponymarketsucks🥉
Entry 74¢·36 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $27 · WR 56.8%
S
Staid-Typeface
Entry 79¢·27 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
58.2%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $21 · WR 58.2%
I
Impeccable-Sake
Entry 77¢·18 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $14 · WR 62.1%
1
1897934297hedged
Entry 62¢·20.7 shares·also $12 on YES
Invested
$13
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $13 · WR 56.3%
O
onyx-shorehedged
Entry 58¢·14 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$8
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 · WR 70.0%
S
squidfruitnethedged
Entry 63¢·7 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$4
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 55.6%
W
Weroi
Entry 81¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 76.0%
K
Kuiyus
Entry 81¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
90.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 90.9%
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