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Will the biggest earthquake on October 26, 2026 be under 5.3?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$1.2K
40 trades
Smart Whales
6
of 37 traders · 1 on both sides

What will the biggest earthquake be on October 26, 2026?

6 MARKETS · $4.6K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs5 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 10% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 86%· net of hedges
+19 new YES$50+11 new NO$274
$15 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$0 of $135 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $14·NO $121
YES Team
Total Invested
$14
Avg Win Rate
79.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$13(-96.3%)
Whales
2
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 17¢·83.9 shares
$-14INV $14 · WR 79.3%
3
0x3ff744e9...🥈hedged
Entry 0¢·21.1 shares·also $84 on NO
+$0INV $0 · WR 60.8%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 29% YES: the biggest earthquake on October 26…