Geopolitics76 days left

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?

YES Price
14¢
14% implied
NO Price
86¢
86% implied
Volume
$24.2K
481 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 145 traders

Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs12 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 8% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 11 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$133+4 new NO$845
$52 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $8.2K is directional: YES $683·NO $7.5K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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