79 days left

Will a single person become TIME's 2026 Person of the Year?

YES Price
79¢
79% implied
NO Price
21¢
21% implied
Volume
$3.5K
92 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 69 traders

Smart Money Consensus

7 YESvs5 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 79¢
YES 58%NO 42%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 79¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 90% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 86%· net of hedges
+10 new YES · 3 smart whales+12 new NO · 2 smart whales
$136 bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ5 of 7 on NO
YES 2NO 5one dot = one wallet

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 46h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.3K is directional: YES $1.2K·NO $132

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 54% YES: a single person become TIME's 2026…