🐋OrcaLayer
Sign In

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$206
2,967 trades
Smart Whales
144
of 1,108 traders · 35 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

63 YESvs116 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 32% YES by dollars · 31 YES vs 99 NO taking a side · 9 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 84%· net of hedges
+583 new YES$11.7K+712 new NO$35.2K
$12.2K of this was bought on both sides by the same 266 buyers — left out of momentum
60 smart whales118 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 52% of the money is not a bet
$138 of $7.4K is held equally on both sides by 5 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $3.7K is hedged across different prices by 30 wallets. True directional: YES $1.2K·NO $2.5K
YES Team
Total Invested
$3.1K
Avg Win Rate
61.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.0K(-98.5%)
Whales
63
2
0x29efa7c2...🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·2,749.1 shares·also $1.3K on NO
$-1361INV $1.4K · WR 55.7%
D
Doyouhavedream🥈
Entry 39¢·2,137 shares
$-814INV $824 · WR 65.9%
P
polpotatoes🥉hedged
Entry 49¢·165 shares·also $90 on NO
$-79INV $80 · WR 55.4%
O
orangelinhedged
Entry 50¢·160 shares·also $211 on NO
$-79INV $80 · WR 80.5%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 47¢·126.1 shares·also $60 on NO
$-59INV $59 · WR 61.6%
O
ohioismhedged
Entry 35¢·157.9 shares·also $26 on NO
$-54INV $55 · WR 59.0%
B
0xb7dac198...
Entry 44¢·119 shares
$-52INV $52 · WR 60.3%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 26¢·181.7 shares·also $139 on NO
$-47INV $48 · WR 55.1%
E
EZTRADNL1hedged
Entry 9¢·527.4 shares·also $291 on NO
$-43INV $46 · WR 59.4%
L
loseurselfboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 85.0%
Showing top 10 of 63

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 94ms
Smart money 35% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12…